Table 18.
The effect of fiscal consolidation on current account for middle-income countries
Dynamic Panel Estimation SGMM | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
1.216*** (0.299) |
1.073*** (0.119) |
0.996*** (0.176) |
0.865*** (0.181) |
0.720*** (0.103) |
0.851*** (0.165) |
|
0.865** (0.376) |
0.839** (0.405) |
0.823** (0.381) |
0.915** (0.361) |
0.900** (0.372) |
0.895** (0.372) |
|
−0.588 (0.205) |
−0.976 (0.798) |
−1.106* (0.554) |
−1.185* (0.609) |
−0.853 (0.511) |
||
0.056 (0.058) |
0.025 (0.027) |
0.027 (0.032) |
0.068** (0.033) |
|||
0.145** (0.067) |
0.160* (0.092) |
0.146* (0.075) |
||||
−0.088 (0.137) |
−0.142 (0.195) |
|||||
−0.079 (0.097) |
||||||
N | 162 | 145 | 145 | 144 | 144 | 144 |
groups | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
N-instr | 6 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
AR(1) | 0.049 | 0.028 | 0.043 | 0.063 | 0.064 | 0.057 |
AR(2) | 0.486 | 0.468 | 0.410 | 0.418 | 0.424 | 0.425 |
Hansen | 0.242 | 0.102 | 0.333 | 0.479 | 0.486 | 0.512 |
Robust standard errors are in parentheses. Regressions are based on the Blundell-Bond estimator. Starting from the most parsimonious specification (column 1), we progressively introduce GDP growth, corruption, public debt, eldy and young population in columns (2)–(6). Significance level at which the null hypothesis is rejected: p < 0.1*; p < 0.05**; p < 0.01***