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. 2022 Jan 28;64(4):710–747. doi: 10.1057/s41294-022-00183-6

Table 4.

The effect of fiscal consolidation on current account

Dynamic Panel Estimation SGMM
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
CAit-1

1.136***

(0.238)

0.750***

(0.222)

0.808***

(0.214)

0.785***

(0.198)

0.797**

(0.094)

0.772***

(0.208)

fait

0.760**

(0.324)

0.774***

(0.284)

7757**

(0.322)

0.797 **

(0.327)

0.812**

(0.333)

0.793**

(0.323)

gdpgit

−0.183*

(0.101)

0.147*

(0.085)

0.190**

(0.097)

0.219**

(0.112)

0.164**

(0.084)

corrpit

−0.131

(0.233)

−0.132

(0.359)

−0.906

(0.431)

−0.161

(0.338)

debtit

0.026

(0.178)

0.030

(0.025)

0.029

(0.023)

eldyit

−0.036

(0.108)

−0.118

(0.147)

youngit

−0.111*

(0.064)

N 207 206 184 184 184 184
groups 23 23 23 23 23 23
N-instr 6 8 9 10 11 12
AR(1) 0.019 0.054 0.044 0.039 0.049 0.048
AR(2) 0.570 0.606 0.561 0.544 0.545 0.525
Hansen 0.157 0.538 0.479 0.511 0.527 0.525

Robust standard errors are in parentheses. Regressions are based on the Blundell-Bond estimator. Starting from the most parsimonious specification (column 1), we progressively introduce GDP growth, corruption, public debt, eldy and young population in columns (2)–(6). Significance level at which the null hypothesis is rejected: p < 0.1*; p < 0.05**; p < 0.01***