Table 3.

Modelled risk scenarios. Levels (1–5) correspond to the scores described in Table 2.

Threat scenarios
Scenario A	Partially reduced access (level 3) and/or partially reduced processing (level 3), baseline condition for all ACSs
Scenario B	Access restriction level 5 (maximum) for Chiloé ACSs* and 4 elsewhere
Threat +Adaptation scenarios
Scenario C	Highest risk level ACSs under scenario B** with improved health management (Antibiotics reduced to level 2)
Scenario D	Highest risk level ACS under scenario B but with Exposure reduced to level 3.
Scenario E	Access restriction level 5 (maximum) in Aysén Region and level 3 elsewhere

^*ACS 6–12 (Fig. 4).

^**ACSs 9A, 10A, 10B and 11 in Fig. 5 (risk levels ≥0.7).