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. 2021 Dec 24;10:e65540. doi: 10.7554/eLife.65540

Appendix 3—table 1. Raw model selection results for Experiment 2.

The raw results of the model comparison analysis conducted depicted in Table 1 for Experiment 2. Roman numerals refer to a given model, as defined by the mapping between the ideal observer estimates and decision parameters in the first two columns. The column labeled DIC gives the raw DIC score, ΔDICnull lists the change in model fit from an intercept-only model (the null-adjusted fit), and ΔDICbest provides the change in null-adjusted model fit from the best-fitting model. The last row for each subject represents the null, intercept-only regression model. Equivocal winning models marked with an asterisk and a tilde.

Subject ΔB Ω DIC ΔDICnull ΔDICbest
1 v a 5286.0 –156.1 1.8 *sim
1 a v 5430.2 –11.9 146.0
1 - v 5431.3 –10.8 147.1
1 v - 5284.1 –157.9 0.0 *sim
1 - a 5444.0 2.0 159.9
1 a - 5441.1 –0.9 157.0
1 - - 5442.0 0.0 157.9
2 v a 5162.9 –144.1 0.0 *sim
2 a v 5283.0 –24.1 120.0
2 - v 5281.0 –26.1 118.0
2 v - 5165.1 –142.0 2.1 *sim
2 - a 5303.7 –3.4 140.8
2 a - 5309.2 2.1 146.2
2 - - 5307.1 0.0 144.1
3 v a 3034.8 –53.4 0.7 *sim
3 a v 3090.1 1.9 56.0
3 - v 3089.5 1.2 55.4
3 v - 3034.1 –54.1 0.0 *sim
3 - a 3089.2 0.9 55.1
3 a - 3088.8 0.6 54.7
3 - - 3088.2 0.0 54.1
4 v a 5438.9 –7.7 1.4 *sim
4 a v 5450.5 3.8 13.0
4 - v 5448.5 1.8 11.0
4 v - 5437.5 –9.1 0.0 *sim
4 - a 5448.2 1.6 10.7
4 a - 5448.7 2.0 11.2
4 - - 5446.7 0.0 9.1