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. 2022 Feb 2;126(9):1355–1361. doi: 10.1038/s41416-022-01714-9

Table 6.

Projected additional breast cancer deaths incurred due to the 2020 cessation of screening, for combinations of assumptions with respect to missing data and the remaining backlog at the end of June 2021.

Whole of backlog cleared 50% of backlog cleared
Source of additional breast cancer deaths
- Symptomatic detection of cancers that would have been screen-detecteda 148–275 242–452
- Delayed screen detection 222 164
- Progression of DCIS 97 71
Totala 467–594 477–687

aRange represents optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.