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. 2022 Feb 5;195:116611. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2022.116611

Table 4.

Prediction of new confirmed case ahead of 7, 14 and 21 days with various models.

Country/States Models Next 7 days prediction
Next 14 days prediction
Next 21 days prediction
predicted 95% confidence predicted 95% confidence predicted 95% confidence
on interval on interval on interval
17-07-2021 24-07-2021 31-07-2021
India Vanilla LSTM 31759 [29437, 30832] 35003 [30647, 32344] 41310 [26377, 30991]
Stacked LSTM 44617 [38520, 42429] 42595 [36814, 39217] 48593 [36012, 39710]
BiLSTM 43071 [39296, 41623] 33485 [31856, 33257] 61464 [39453, 46424]
ED_LSTM 55588 [48027, 53046] 72134 [55317, 63396] 156472 [75427, 104118]
CNN 72572 [59971, 68365] 54217 [43309, 48319] 81682 [56401, 65913]
CNN+LSTM 35746 [36094, 37051] 39876 [40839, 41877] 35664 [37370, 38641]
Maharashtra Vanilla LSTM 11080 [10708, 10971] 17372 [14738, 16075] 13909 [10731, 11978]
Stacked LSTM 6729 [6812, 6656] 12500 [10553, 11445] 15587 [11992, 13394]
BiLSTM 9497 [9303, 9429] 6446 [6696, 6974] 9979 [9229, 9532]
ED_LSTM 6109 [6149, 6279] 7278 [7377, 7502] 7254 [7291, 7356]
CNN 6057 [6131, 6332] 9113 [8616, 8847] 8459 [8199, 8295]
CNN+LSTM 10164 [9945, 10115] 9464 [9225, 9343] 10693 [10213, 10461]
Kerala Vanilla LSTM 5296 [5390, 6225] 17549 [11776, 14275] 38564 [23776, 29651]
Stacked LSTM 6866 [6736, 7182] 34136 [23184, 28533] 25395 [17505, 20351]
BiLSTM 21663 [17734, 20477] 30926 [21760, 25726] 15940 [14720, 15209]
ED_LSTM 10229 [10010, 10313] 25344 [20536, 22902] 11223 [11206, 11425]
CNN 18715 [16398, 17947] 23336 [18276, 20758] 12219 [11081, 11496]
CNN+LSTM 9224 [9366, 9829] 17342 [14624, 15881] 4495 [4828, 5390]
Karnataka Vanilla LSTM 1156 [1128, 1154] 2537 [2246, 2358] 2627 [2423, 2490]
Stacked LSTM 3688 [3275, 3541] 1581 [1732, 1921] 1107 [1014, 1073]
BiLSTM 2525 [2575, 2719] 1611 [1563, 1607] 4128 [2505, 3068]
ED_LSTM 3725 [3095, 3509] 5910 [3130, 4307] 1730 [1315, 1438]
CNN 3966 [3130, 3685] 1959 [1552, 1712] 4246 [2200, 2916]
CNN+LSTM 747 [815, 1120] 1480 [1607, 1773] 1762 [2131, 2402]
Tamil Nadu Vanilla LSTM 2093 [1096, 2048] 980 [996, 1115] 2540 [1443, 1810]
Stacked LSTM 1036 [1055, 1196] 1923 [2042, 2209] 551 [814, 1063]
BiLSTM 832 [895, 1067] 3247 [3358, 3493] 977 [1326, 1650]
ED_LSTM 6263 [4765, 5754] 7711 [5521, 6578] 13661 [7504, 9848]
CNN 1078 [1034, 1086] 1698 [1677, 1749] 537 [683, 908]
CNN+LSTM 3923 [3618, 4018] 2317 [2485, 2664] 278 [826, 1232]