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. 2021 Jul 21;114(2):187–190. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djab144

Table 2.

Actual and alternative biomarker-stratified trial design of lapatinib trial (5)

Patient population Actual designa
Biomarker-stratified designb
Actual sample size Target HR (power, %) Formally tested Target sample size Target HR (power, %) Formally tested
Biomarker-positive: HER2-positive 218 0.645 (80) Yes 218 0.645 (80) Yes
Biomarker-negative: HER2-negative No 430 0.700 (90) Yes
Overall 1280 0.769 (90) Yes 648 No

Sequential biomarker-positive/overall design; sequential testing (α = 0.025): first test the biomarker-positive subgroup at the statistical significance threshold level α (with the treatment declared ineffective if the test is not statistically significant). If the biomarker-positive subgroup test is statistically significant then test the overall population at the same statistical significance level α; the treatment is recommended for both biomarker-positive and biomarker-negative subgroups if the overall test is statistically significant and only for the biomarker-positive subgroup otherwise. (This procedure controls the overall type I error of the design at level α). CPS = PD-L1 combined positive score; HR = hazard ratio.

Sequential biomarker-stratified design; sequential testing (α = 0.025): first test the biomarker-positive subgroup at the statistical significance threshold level α (with the treatment declared ineffective if the test is not statistically significant). If the biomarker-positive subgroup test is statistically significant, then test the biomarker-negative subgroup at the same statistical significance level α; the treatment is recommended for both biomarker-positive and biomarker-negative subgroups if the biomarker-negative test is statistically significant and only for the biomarker-positive subgroup otherwise. (This procedure controls the overall type I error of the design at level α).