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. 2020 Dec 18;2020(12):CD008500. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD008500.pub5

Summary of findings 8. Vitamin K antagonists versus placebo or no thromboprophylaxis.

VKA compared with placebo or no thromboprophylaxis for primary thromboprophylaxis in ambulatory cancer patients receiving chemotherapy
Patient or population: ambulatory cancer patients receiving chemotherapy
Settings: outpatient clinics
Intervention: VKA
Comparison: placebo or no thromboprophylaxis
Outcomes Relative effect (95% CI) Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI) Differenceb
(95% CI) No of participants
(studies) Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE) What it means
Assumed riska Corresponding risk
With placebo or no thromboprophylaxis
Number of events per 1000 participants
With VKA
Number of events per 1000 participants
Symptomatic VTE
Follow‐up: mean 6 months
RR 0.15 (0.02 to 1.2) Intermediate‐risk populationc 37 per 1000 fewer events (43 fewer to 9 more) 311 (1) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowd VKA may reduce the incidence of symptomatic VTE in breast cancer.
44 per 1000 7 per 1000
(1 to 53)
Major bleeding
Follow‐up: mean 6 months
RR 3.82 (0.97 to 15.04) Intermediate‐risk populationc 18 per 1000 more events (0 fewer to 88 more) 994 (4) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowe VKA may increase the incidence of major bleeding in breast cancer and small‐cell lung cancer.
6 per 1000 24 per 1000
(6 to 95)
Symptomatic PE
Follow‐up: mean 6 months
RR 1.05 (0.07 to 16.58) Intermediate‐risk populationc 0 per 1000 fewer events (6 fewer to 101 more) 311 (1) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Verylowf We have very little confidence in the estimated effect of VKA on symptomatic PE in breast cancer.
6 per 1000 7 per 1000
(0 to 108)
Symptomatic DVT
Follow‐up: mean 6 months
RR 0.08 (0 to 1.42) Intermediate‐risk populationc 35 per 1000 fewer events (38 fewer to 16 more) 311 (1) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowd VKA may reduce the incidence of symptomatic DVT in breast cancer.
38 per 1000 3 per 1000
(0 to 54)
Any VTE
Follow‐up: NA
NAg Intermediate‐risk populationc NA NA NA We do not know how VKA affects any VTE across different cancer types.
NA NA
1‐year overall mortality
Follow‐up: NA
NAg Intermediate‐risk populationc NA NA NA We do not know how VKA affects 1‐year overall mortality across different cancer types.
NA NA
Clinically relevant bleeding
Follow‐up: NA
NAg Intermediate‐risk populationc NA NA NA We do not know how VKA affects clinically relevant bleeding across different cancer types.
NA NA
*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; DVT: deep vein thrombosis; NA: not applicable; PE: pulmonary embolism; RR: risk ratio; VKA: vitamin K antagonists; VTE: venous thromboembolism.
GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate certainty: further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low certainty: further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low certainty: we are very uncertain about the estimate.

aThe assumed risk was calculated from the medium observed control group risk across the trials.
bDifference calculated as the absolute risk difference between the assumed risk and corresponding risk, expressed per 1000.
cIntermediate‐risk population refers to the median observed risk to experience symptomatic VTE in the trials contributing to the analyses (44 per 1000). Rates between 2% and 7% are considered intermediate risk (Khorana 2008).
dDowngraded two levels because of imprecision, risk of publication bias (only 1/4 trials reported on this outcome), and potential risk of attrition bias, see Characteristics of included studies table.
eDowngraded two levels because of imprecision and potential attrition bias in 2/4 trials.
fDowngraded three levels because of imprecision (two levels), the risk for publication bias, as only 1/4 trials reported on this outcome, and potential attrition bias, see Characteristics of included studies table.
gNo trials contributed to this outcome.