Skip to main content
. 2021 Nov 29;191(3):535–543. doi: 10.1007/s10549-021-06438-7

Table 3.

Median progression-free survival and univariable analysis of prognostic factors for progression-free survival for all patients and divided by biological subtype

Number of events/patients Median PFS, months
(95% CI)
Log rank p-value Hazard Ratio (95% CI) Wald p-value
All patients 364/439 4.1 (3.7–4.4)  < 0.001
 ER + /HER2- 229/279 4.6 (4.2–5.2) Ref.
 HER2 57/68 3.9 (2.9–5.5) 1.03 (0.77–1.38) 0.84
 TNBC 78/92 2.4 (2.1–3.0) 1.98 (1.53–2.57)  < 0.001
All patients
 DRFi, years
  1st tertile (≤ 2.8) 99/122 2.8 (2.3–4.4) 0.30 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 2.8–7.0) 102/121 4.4 (3.7–5.0) 0.90 (0.68–1.19) 0.47
  3rd tertile (> 7.0) 102/121 3.9 (3.8–5.3) 0.79 (0.60–1.05) 0.10
  De novo metastatic 61/75 3.9 (3.4–4.6) 1.03 (0.74–1.42) 0.87
  Linear 0.99 (0.97–1.01) 0.21
 Previous chemotherapy lines, n
   ≤ 2 227/274 4.3 (3.7–4.6) 0.65 Ref.
   > 2 137/165 3.9 (3.6–4.6) 1.05 (0.85–1.07) 0.66
  Linear 0.94 (0.86–1.03) 0.19
 ADPT, months
  1st tertile (≤ 6.3) 126/146 2.8 (2.3–3.9) 0.001 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 6.3–10.1) 124/145 4.4 (3.8–5.0) 0.72 (0.56–0.92) 0.009
  3rd tertile (> 10.1) 111/145 4.7 (4.0–5.3) 0.62 (0.42–0.69)  < 0.001
  Linear 0.96 (0.94–0.98)  < 0.001
ER + /HER2-
 DRFi, years
  1st tertile (≤ 4.3) 63/78 4.4 (3.7–7.1) 0.44 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 4.3–8.8) 65/77 5.0 (4.4–6.1) 1.06 (0.75–1.51) 0.73
  3rd tertile (> 8.8) 67/77 4.6 (3.6–5.3) 1.29 (0.91–1.82) 0.16
  De novo metastatic 34/47 4.4 (3.7–7.3) 1.27 (0.83–1.94) 0.27
  Linear 1.01 (0.99–1.03) 0.45
 Previous chemotherapy lines, n
   ≤ 2 143/175 4.6 (3.7–5.3) 0.91 Ref.
   > 2 86/104 4.6 (4.3–5.3) 0.99 (0.75–1.29) 0.91
  Linear 0.91 (0.80–1.02) 0.11
 ADPT, months
  1st tertile (≤ 6.5) 79/93 4.1 (3.0–5.2) 0.36 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 6.5–10.4) 80/92 5.3 (4.4–7.2) 0.80 (0.58–1.09) 0.15
  3rd tertile (> 10.4) 68/92 4.6 (3.7–5.3) 0.88 (0.64–1.22) 0.45
  Linear 0.98 (0.95–1.00) 0.039
HER2 + 
 DRFi, years
  1st tertile (≤ 2.4) 14/18 5.0 (2.5–*) 0.62 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 2.4–4.9) 14/17 3.7 (2.1–7.5) 1.65 (0.75–3.6) 0.21
  3rd tertile (> 4.9) 14/18 3.1 (1.8–*) 1.24 (0.58–2.66) 0.58
  De novo metastatic 15/15 3.9 (3.4–9.1) 1.46 (0.68–3.13) 0.33
  Linear 0.97 (0.92–1.03) 0.35
 Previous chemotherapy lines, n
   ≤ 2 27/32 5.0 (2.3–7.5) 0.21 Ref.
   > 2 30/36 3.6 (2.5–5.5) 1.40 (0.82–2.38) 0.22
  Linear 1.06 (0.87–1.28) 0.57
 ADPT, months
  1st tertile (≤ 7.8) 18/23 2.9 (1.8–6.7) 0.19 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 7.8–12.4) 20/22 2.3 (2.1–6.9) 0.71 (0.37–1.36) 0.30
  3rd tertile (> 12.4) 19/23 5.0 (4.1–9.1) 0.55 (0.29–1.05) 0.071
  Linear 0.95 (0.90–1.00) 0.063
TNBC
 DRFi, years
  1st tertile (≤ 1.4) 23/27 2.3 (1.8–2.6) 0.004 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 1.4–2.8) 21/26 2.3 (1.7–4.5) 0.49 (0.26–0.92) 0.026
  3rd tertile (> 2.8) 22/26 3.8 (3.0–6.0) 0.32 (0.17–0.60)  < 0.001
  De novo metastatic 12/13 2.2 (1.9–*) 0.68 (0.34–1.39) 0.29
  Linear 0.93 (0.85–1.01) 0.075
 Previous chemotherapy lines, n
   ≤ 2 57/67 2.4 (2.1–3.0) 0.48 Ref.
   > 2 21/25 2.6 (1.9–3.9) 1.20 (0.72–1.99) 0.49
  Linear 0.99 (0.76–1.28) 0.92
ADPT, months
  1st tertile (≤ 5.0) 28/31 1.9 (1.5–2.7) 0.001 Ref.
  2nd tertile (> 5.0–8.7) 24/31 2.2 (1.9–4.4) 0.60 (0.35–1.05) 0.074
  3rd tertile (> 8.7) 25/30 3.8 (2.6–5.0) 0.34 (0.19–0.62)  < 0.001
  Linear 0.92 (0.86–0.97) 0.002

ADPT average duration of previous treatment lines, DRFi distant recurrence-free interval, PFS progression-free survival