Table 1.

Percent increase in cumulative suicide deaths over the period 2020–2041 (with 95% intervals) for the four COVID-19 mental health scenarios.

Suicide Deaths	Scenario A	Scenario B	Scenario C	Scenario D
% increase compared to no pandemic	4.9	18.6	8.1	34.7
95% intervals *	4.5, 5.3	18.1, 19.1	7.7, 8.5	33.9, 35.5

* Uncertainty intervals presented are a measure of the impact of uncertainty of projected growth in services capacity on the simulation results and should not be interpreted as confidence intervals.