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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Mar 1.
Published in final edited form as: Hepatology. 2021 Dec 17;75(3):541–549. doi: 10.1002/hep.32185

Table 3:

Biomarker true positive rate (and 95% confidence interval) with screening-level false positive rate fixed at 10%

Any Stage HCC Early-Stage HCC
Any time prior to HCC 0-6 months prior to HCC 7-12 months prior to HCC diagnosis Any time prior to HCC 0-6 months prior to HCC 7-12 months prior to HCC diagnosis
GALAD
−0.33
54.8 (39.5-70.2) 72.0 (52.6-88.9) 50.0 (23.1-73.7) 53.8 (33.3-73.3) 73.7 (52.0-93.3) 44.4 (10.0-80.0)
Longitudinal GALAD 66.7 (51.3-80.8) 64.0 (42.9-83.3) 62.5 (35.3-85.7) 69.2 (50.0-86.4) 68.4 (44.4-88.9) 66.7 (28.6-100.0)
HES Algorithm
10.05
45.2 (26.1-62.1) 44.0 (21.1-62.5) 43.8 (20.0-72.2) 34.6 (14.3-56.5) 42.1 (18.2-66.7) 22.2 (0-60.0)
AFP
17.4 ng/mL
40.5 (24.2-57.1) 52.0 (30.4-75.0) 18.8 (0.0-42.9) 50.0 (28.0-69.0) 63.2 (35.3-85.7) 22.2 (0-57.1)
AFP-L3%
11.9%
45.2 (30.2-68.8) 43.8 (33.3-80.8) 43.8 (21.0-72.7) 46.2 (25.0-73.5) 33.3 (25.0-82.4) 33.3 (0-75.0)
DCP
5.9 ng/mL
26.2 (13.0-42.9) 20.0 (5.0-38.1) 37.5 (13.3-64.3) 34.6 (15.4-52.6) 26.3 (6.7-48.5) 55.6 (14.3-87.5)