Table 1.
Parameters | Symbol | Average value | Range | References |
---|---|---|---|---|
Duration of maternal antibody protection | 1/ω | 2 months | 1–3 months | [21, 22] |
Duration of infectious period of 1st, 2nd and subsequent infections | 1/γ1,2,3 | 10, 7, 5 days | – | [23, 24] |
Duration of short-term immunity of recovered individuals | 1/p | 18.7 months (half-life: 7.4 months) | Estimated | [25, 26] |
Reduction of infectiousness for 2nd and subsequent infections | ρ1,2 | 75%, 51% | – | [4, 24, 27–30] |
Reduction of susceptibility after 1st, 2nd, and subsequent infections | σ1,2 | 76%, 60%, 40% | – | [4, 24, 27–30] |
Proportion of infections leading to lower respiratory tract infection by age groups | d1,2,3 |
d1, 0–6 months: 0.5, d1, 7–12 months: 0.4, d1, 13–18 months: 0.3, d1, 19–24 months: 0.2, d1, 2–4 years: 0.15, d1, 5–9 years: 0.15, d1, 10–59 years: 0.1, d1, 60–64 years: 0.15, d1, 65–74 years: 0.25, d1, 75+ years: 0.4 d2 = 0.5 × d1 d3 = 0.25 × d1 |
– | Adapted from [4, 26, 28, 31] |
Seasonality parameters | b,φ | 0.141, − 2.831 | Estimated | |
Per contact transmission probability | β0 | 0.0054 | Estimated | |
Healthcare system use | h | 0.396 | Estimated |