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. 2021 Nov 27;66(3):613–626. doi: 10.1007/s00484-021-02223-9

Table 4.

Synopsis of the ecological logistic GLMs for European anchovy and European sardine. The letters “w” and “s” after the name of the climatic variables correspond to the winter and summer sub-variables, respectively. The number after the name of the climatic variables means the amount of lag (in years) used

Data transformation Species Explanatory variables Deviance explained (%) VIF AC AUC Accuracy (%) Precision (%)
Logit_mean Anchovy AOs3 * 48.44 2.02 No 0.921 36.36 75.00
EAw2 * 2.02
Logit_mean Sardine NAO2_sq # 55.13 1.04 No 0.932 42.42 85.71
EAs_sq # 1.04
Logit_cp Anchovy EA3 ** 22.66 No 0.805 54.54 66.67
Logit_cp Sardine NAOs2 * 51.66 1.46 No 0.912 45.45 93.33
AOw1_sq * 1.40
EAs3_sq * 1.22

Asterisks indicate a significance level of 0.001 (**), 0.01 (*), and 0.05 (#)

VIF variance inflation factor, AC autocorrelation, AUC area under the curve, AO Arctic Oscillation, EA East Atlantic pattern