Null models: constant rates and pure birth |
γ statistics in LASER (ML models testing; Rabosky, 2006) |
Dataset 3 and 1,000 simulated trees based on Dataset 1 |
Null models rejected, supporting the hypothesis of a slowdown in diversification |
Diversity-dependent (DD) model: rates vary as a function of species density |
DDD (ML models testing; Etienne et al., 2012) |
100 simulated trees based on Dataset 1 |
DD models rejected, supporting the alternative diversity-independent model |
Models in which rates vary among clades and time |
BAMM (Bayesian models testing; Rabosky, 2014) |
Dataset 1 |
No significant rate shift detected; speciation decreased through time |
Time-dependent (TD) model: rates vary discretely as a function of time |
LASER and RPANDA (fit_bd) (ML models testing; Morlon et al., 2016) |
Dataset 1 and Dataset 2 |
Speciation rate is dramatically decreased and extinction rate is constant |
Palaeoenvironment-dependent model: rates vary continuously as a function of both time and environmental condition |
RPANDA (fit_env) (ML models testing; Morlon et al., 2016) |
Dataset 2 |
Speciation is positively correlated to the drop of atmospheric pCO2 from the late Miocene to present |
Trait-dependent model: rates vary as a function of character states |
DIVERSITREE (BiSSE) (ML models testing; FitzJohn, 2012) |
Dataset 3 |
Higher CAM associated speciation rate and 10-fold extinction rate to C3
|
Trait-dependent model: rates vary as a function of hidden character states |
HISSE (ML models testing; Beaulieu and O’Meara, 2016) |
Dataset 1 |
Photosynthetic pathways explain most of the diversification heterogeneity |