Fidelity and timeliness of COVID-19 data sources in the Austin, TX, MSA. (A) Scaled 7-d rolling averages of confirmed COVID-19 cases (8), COVID-19 hospital admissions, COVID-19 hospital census, COVID-19 ICU census, and COVID-19 mortality. Time series are scaled from zero to one. (B) Time-lagged correlations between all candidate predictors and ICU census at five lag intervals (–14, –7, 0, 7, and 14 d). Error bars indicate the 95% CI of the correlation coefficient for the specified lag. Negative x-axis lag values mean that the predictor leads the target (desirable); positive values mean the predictor lags the target.