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. 2022 Jan 29;11(2):185. doi: 10.3390/pathogens11020185

Table 3.

The top-performing disease models by data split. For the model, if MAE, RMSE, and deviance matched, there is one model listed; if the best model by metric did not match, the cell contains ‘MAE; RMSE; deviance’ and if greater than one model produced the same value for all the metrics, they are listed together and separated by commas.

Number of Cases Country Over All Months Forecast Time Over All Locations
Disease Overall High Cases Low Cases (Zero) Australia Israel US Nowcasting Short Term Long Term
Campylo-
bacteriosis
Alt-XGB Alt-XGB GLARMA Alt-XGB XGB (Both) GLARMA, Alt-XGB XGB XGB RF(Both); RF(Both); Alt-XGB
Q-fever Alt-XGB Alt-XGB Tree-based, DL Alt-XGB GLARMA; Enc–Dec; Alt-XGB All RF Tree-based Alt-XGB
Typhoid Alt-XGB GLARMA All Alt-XGB; GLARMA; GLARMA All RF Enc–Dec Alt-XGB; GLARMA; XGB (Both) MLP

Note in this table that Both refers to the Alt and Not versions of the same model.