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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Psychol Rev. 2021 Aug 26;129(4):640–695. doi: 10.1037/rev0000313

Table 3:

Summary of model fits to empirical data. #DP indicates number of data points.

Exp. No. WOLVES Kachergis et al Pursuit
Measure DP RMSE MAPE RMSE MAPE RMSE MAPE
1,2: Smith & Yu (2008, 2011)
Proportion Correct 2 0.04 6.10 0.09 11.84 0.37 59.97
Miscellaneous (See Table 1) 15 0.18 7.32
3: Trueswell, Medina, Hafri, & Gleitman (2013))
Prop. correct at a learning instance 5 0.01 1.86 0.19 69.73 0.09 31.34
Prop. correct at current versus previous learning instance 2 0.03 3.81 0.22 80.90 0.26 45.22
4: Yu & Smith (2007)
Proportion Correct 3 0.05 4.20 0.08 9.43 0.17 24.38
5: Yu, Zhong, & Fricker (2012)
Proportion Correct 2 0.03 5.44 0.18 24.32 0.16 22.61
Prop. of time on target 18 0.13 17.00
6: Yurovsky, Yu, & Smith (2013)
Proportion Correct 3 0.03 6.71
7: Kachergis, Yu, & Shiffrin (2012)
Prop. Correct: Within-stage (3-Late) 6 0.01 1.33 0.03 4.38 0.28 38.98
Prop. Correct: Within-stage (6-Late) 6 0.06 8.16 0.03 4.59 0.25 33.93
Prop. Correct: Within-stage (9-Late) 6 0.15 17.88 0.02 1.94 0.15 17.99
Prop. Correct: Cross-stage (3-Late) 6 0.11 71.91 0.06 41.12 0.05 35.05
Prop. Correct: Cross-stage (6-Late) 6 0.04 13.26 0.02 5.85 0.18 64.36
Prop. Correct: Cross-stage (9-Late) 6 0.03 9.99 0.02 6.60 0.24 70.56
Prop. Correct: No-early Stage 3 0.01 3.11 0.09 19.47 0.02 4.87
8: Smith & Yu (2013)
Prop. Correct 1 0.01 1.07 0.08 12.87 0.37 58.42
Proportion looking to varying and repeated 24 0.15 24.85
9: Vlach & Johnson (2013)
Prop. Correct (Looking): 16-month-olds 2 0.02 3.98 0.03 6.27 0.48 94.80
Prop. Correct (Looking): 20-month-olds 2 0.02 2.58 0.02 3.92 0.45 83.26
10: Vlach & DeBrock (2019)
Prop. Correct: 47–58-month-olds 2 0.03 3.46 0.13 17.57 0.36 57.14
11: Vlach & DeBrock (2017)
Prop. Correct (against scatter fit) 6 0.06 5.49 0.23 25.37 0.10 11.06
12: Suanda, Mugwanya, & Namy (2014)
Proportion Correct 3 0.14 27.07 0.15 33.30 0.36 82.58
Prop. of subjects looking correctly 3 0.29 40.44
Grand Mean 11 exp 69 0.05 13.51 0.08 19.95 0.20 42.13
Std Deviations 11 exp 69 0.04 15.79 0.07 21.99 0.13 25.52
Grand Mean 3 gen exp * 15 0.03 4.05 0.21 47.42 0.13 23.91
Overall AIC 69 −239.67 −295.78 −193.32
Overall BIC 69 −96.69 −289.08 −186.62
Grand Mean all 12 exp 132 0.10 15.80