Table 4.
Trend analysis of age-standardized mortality for prostate cancer from 2000 to 2019.
| Country | AAPC | Range | Trend1 | Trend2 | Trend3 | Trend4 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | EAPC | Range | Period | EAPC | Range | Period | EAPC | Range | Period | EAPC | Range | |||
| Albania | 0.05 | −0.47–0.57 | 2000–04 | 0.81 | −0.67–2.32 | 2004–08 | −2.72* | −4.86 to −0.54 | 2008–19 | 0.8* | 0.54–1.06 | |||
| Argentina | −0.9* | −1.01 to −0.78 | 2000–03 | 0.09 | −0.34–0.52 | 2003–07 | −0.9* | −1.31 to −0.48 | 2007–14 | −1.8* | −1.94 to −1.67 | 2014–19 | −0.2* | −0.37 to −0.02 |
| Armenia | 1* | 0.76–1.25 | 2000–16 | 1.32* | 1.18–1.46 | 2016–19 | −0.65 | −2.14–0.87 | ||||||
| Australia | −1.1* | −1.2 to −0.99 | 2000–03 | 0.38 | −0.06–0.82 | 2003–08 | −1.35* | −1.61 to −1.09 | 2008–14 | −2.99* | −3.17 to −2.82 | 2014–19 | 0.59* | 0.42–0.76 |
| Austria | −1.73* | −1.87 to −1.6 | 2000–04 | −3.09* | −3.55 to −2.61 | 2004–14 | −1.77* | −1.91 to −1.64 | 2014–19 | −0.55* | −0.88 to −0.23 | |||
| Azerbaijan | 0.43* | 0.29–0.58 | 2000–03 | 2.83* | 2.12–3.55 | 2003–17 | 0.27* | 0.21–0.33 | 2017–19 | −1.94* | −2.97 to −0.89 | |||
| Bahamas | −0.16 | −0.9–0.58 | 2000–02 | 3.3 | −1.19–8 | 2002–05 | −2.58 | −6.6–1.61 | 2005–19 | −0.12 | −0.29–0.05 | |||
| Bahrain | −0.26 | −1–0.49 | 2000–04 | 6.02* | 2.91–9.22 | 2004–14 | −3.04* | −3.75 to −2.32 | 2014–19 | 0.51 | −0.94–1.98 | |||
| Barbados | −0.17 | −0.51–0.16 | 2000–04 | 1.38* | 0.53–2.24 | 2004–12 | −2.61* | −2.94 to −2.27 | 2012–17 | 0.17 | −0.61–0.95 | 2017–19 | 5.91* | 3.6–8.27 |
| Belarus | 0.26 | −0.03–0.54 | 2000–10 | 0.9* | 0.48–1.32 | 2010–19 | −0.45 | −0.91–0.01 | ||||||
| Belgium | −1.75* | −1.97 to −1.53 | 2000–07 | −1.61* | −1.78 to −1.44 | 2007–13 | −3.65* | −3.93 to −3.36 | 2013–16 | −1.17 | −2.47–0.15 | 2016–19 | 1.24* | 0.6–1.88 |
| Belize | −0.91* | −1.35 to −0.48 | 2000–03 | −2.27* | −3.5 to −1.04 | 2003–06 | −0.5 | −2.9–1.95 | 2006–10 | −3.28* | −4.41 to −2.13 | 2010–19 | 0.48* | 0.29–0.66 |
| Brazil | −0.98* | −1.14 to −0.83 | 2000–04 | 0.25 | −0.18–0.68 | 2004–09 | −1.1* | −1.49 to −0.71 | 2009–14 | −2* | −2.37 to −1.63 | 2014–19 | −0.82* | −1.06 to −0.57 |
| Brunei Darussalam | 1.89* | 1.47–2.31 | 2000–13 | 3.43* | 3–3.85 | 2013–19 | −1.35* | −2.43 to −0.26 | ||||||
| Bulgaria | 2.17* | 1.94–2.41 | 2000–08 | 4.68* | 4.38–4.99 | 2008–13 | 1.87* | 1.13–2.61 | 2013–19 | −0.84* | −1.21 to −0.46 | |||
| Canada | −2.19* | −2.65 to −1.74 | 2000–04 | −2* | −2.86 to −1.14 | 2004–12 | −4.63* | −4.99 to −4.27 | 2012–15 | −1.06 | −3.81–1.77 | 2015–19 | 1.79* | 0.95–2.63 |
| Chile | −0.52* | −0.78 to −0.27 | 2000–12 | −0.33* | −0.47 to −0.19 | 2012–16 | −1.55* | −2.58 to −0.51 | 2016–19 | 0.1 | −0.89–1.1 | |||
| China | −0.59* | −0.69 to −0.5 | 2000–08 | −0.82* | −1.01 to −0.62 | 2008–19 | −0.43* | −0.53 to −0.33 | ||||||
| Colombia | −1.31* | −2.65–0.05 | 2000–02 | 3.77 | −4.23–12.43 | 2002–05 | −5.74 | −12.68–1.75 | 2005–15 | −1.87* | −2.54 to −1.21 | 2015–19 | 1.05 | −1.03–3.19 |
| Costa Rica | −0.19 | −0.38–0.01 | 2000–19 | −0.19 | −0.38–0.01 | |||||||||
| Croatia | 0.4* | 0.14–0.66 | 2000–05 | 2.38* | 1.65–3.12 | 2005–15 | −0.04 | −0.3–0.21 | 2015–19 | −0.94* | −1.75 to −0.12 | |||
| Cuba | 0.54* | 0.39–0.69 | 2000–09 | 0.8* | 0.53–1.07 | 2009–19 | 0.3* | 0.11–0.5 | ||||||
| Czechia | −0.97* | −1.16 to −0.78 | 2000–04 | 0.33 | −0.2–0.87 | 2004–10 | −1.17* | −1.52 to −0.82 | 2010–15 | −2.3* | −2.77 to −1.83 | 2015–19 | −0.28 | −0.75–0.19 |
| Denmark | −0.78* | −0.94 to −0.62 | 2000–05 | 1.3* | 1.03–1.58 | 2005–09 | −0.77* | −1.34 to −0.19 | 2009–14 | −3.12* | −3.47 to −2.77 | 2014–19 | −0.48* | −0.73 to −0.24 |
| Dominican Republic | −0.5 | −1.04–0.05 | 2000–05 | 2.16* | 1.36–2.96 | 2005–08 | −5.12* | −8.22 to −1.92 | 2008–15 | 0.91* | 0.37–1.45 | 2015–19 | −2.65* | −3.57 to −1.72 |
| Ecuador | 0.14 | −0.02–0.31 | 2000–06 | 1.88* | 1.53–2.22 | 2006–12 | −0.23 | −0.62–0.15 | 2012–19 | −1* | −1.2 to −0.79 | |||
| El Salvador | −0.04 | −0.86–0.78 | 2000–02 | −2.21 | −7.76–3.68 | 2002–06 | 2.81* | 0.01–5.69 | 2006–13 | −2.65* | −3.52 to −1.76 | 2013–19 | 1.91* | 1.06–2.78 |
| Estonia | 0.48* | 0.24–0.72 | 2000–06 | 2.55* | 2.04–3.07 | 2006–15 | 0.11 | −0.17–0.4 | 2015–19 | −1.74* | −2.51 to −0.97 | |||
| Finland | −1.44* | −1.6 to −1.28 | 2000–02 | −1.05 | −2.27–0.18 | 2002–08 | −3.07* | −3.33 to −2.8 | 2008–14 | −1.3* | −1.56 to −1.04 | 2014–19 | 0.22 | −0.02–0.47 |
| France | −2.19* | −2.39 to −2 | 2000–03 | −2.02* | −2.58 to −1.46 | 2003–11 | −3.75* | −3.9 to −3.6 | 2011–14 | −3.02* | −4.18 to −1.84 | 2014–19 | 0.75* | 0.5–1.01 |
| Georgia | 3.63* | 3.19–4.07 | 2000–05 | 10.27* | 8.97–11.6 | 2005–12 | 3.02* | 2.24–3.82 | 2012–19 | −0.3 | −0.87–0.28 | |||
| Germany | −1.41* | −1.53 to −1.28 | 2000–08 | −1.97* | −2.04 to −1.89 | 2008–11 | −2.31* | −2.99 to −1.62 | 2011–15 | −1.08* | −1.43 to −0.73 | 2015–19 | 0.08 | −0.14–0.3 |
| Greece | −1.3* | −1.49 to −1.11 | 2000–03 | −1.03 | −1.74 to −0.31 | 2003–11 | −3.16* | −3.35 to −2.97 | 2011–16 | −0.16 | −0.64–0.31 | 2016–19 | 1.58* | 0.85–2.32 |
| Guatemala | −0.42* | −0.7 to −0.13 | 2000–05 | 1.32* | 0.86–1.79 | 2005–14 | −1.1* | −1.28 to −0.91 | 2014–17 | −2.02* | −3.56 to −0.46 | 2017–19 | 0.79 | −0.7–2.31 |
| Guyana | −0.33 | −0.65–0 | 2000–04 | −1.38* | −2.05 to −0.71 | 2004–11 | −0.14 | −0.48–0.21 | 2011–14 | 1.13 | −0.82–3.11 | 2014–19 | −0.61* | −1.02 to −0.19 |
| Hungary | −1.08* | −1.23 to −0.93 | 2000–13 | −1.64* | −1.77 to −1.51 | 2013–19 | 0.13 | −0.3–0.57 | ||||||
| Iceland | −1.53* | −1.94 to −1.11 | 2000–11 | −0.81* | −1 to −0.62 | 2011–14 | −5.3* | −7.83 to −2.7 | 2014–19 | −0.81* | −1.39 to −0.21 | |||
| Ireland | −1.85* | −2.05 to −1.64 | 2000–04 | −1.69* | −2.08 to −1.3 | 2004–14 | −2.73* | −2.84 to −2.62 | 2014–17 | −0.64 | −1.8–0.55 | 2017–19 | 0.49 | −0.63–1.63 |
| Israel | −1.99* | −2.51 to −1.46 | 2000–09 | −1.93* | −2.2 to −1.66 | 2009–13 | −4.47* | −5.89 to −3.03 | 2013–16 | −1.32 | −4.19–1.63 | 2016–19 | 0.54 | −0.84–1.95 |
| Italy | −1.54* | −1.63 to −1.45 | 2000–03 | −1.61* | −2.08 to −1.14 | 2003–14 | −2.25* | −2.32 to −2.18 | 2014–19 | 0.07 | −0.14–0.28 | |||
| Jamaica | 0.23 | −1.07–1.55 | 2000–06 | −0.49 | −1.85–0.89 | 2006–09 | 8.46* | 0.79–16.72 | 2009–13 | −5.07* | −8.5 to −1.51 | 2013–19 | 0.64 | −0.56–1.85 |
| Japan | −0.68* | −0.81 to −0.54 | 2000–05 | −0.38* | −0.57 to −0.19 | 2005–08 | −1.47* | −2.24 to −0.68 | 2008–17 | −0.79* | −0.87 to −0.71 | 2017–19 | 0.28 | −0.45–1.01 |
| Kazakhstan | 0.65* | 0.22–1.09 | 2000–11 | 1.35* | 1.19–1.5 | 2011–14 | −0.73 | −2.72–1.3 | 2014–17 | 1.24 | −0.75–3.27 | 2017–19 | −1.91* | −3.73 to −0.06 |
| Kuwait | 0.53 | −0.13–1.19 | 2000–08 | 2.12* | 1.57–2.67 | 2008–11 | −5.23* | −9.19 to −1.09 | 2011–19 | 1.17* | 0.76–1.58 | |||
| Kyrgyzstan | −0.95 | −1.97–0.08 | 2000–03 | −4.44* | −7.26 to −1.54 | 2003–13 | −1* | −1.59 to −0.42 | 2013–16 | 3.29 | −2.74–9.69 | 2016–19 | −1.35 | −4.12–1.51 |
| Latvia | 0.97* | 0.7–1.23 | 2000–06 | 5.14* | 4.56–5.72 | 2006–14 | −0.28 | −0.67–0.1 | 2014–19 | −1.89* | −2.53 to −1.26 | |||
| Lithuania | 0.52* | 0.14–0.91 | 2000–07 | 5.43* | 4.91–5.94 | 2007–11 | −3.03* | −4.62 to −1.42 | 2011–19 | −1.83* | −2.2 to −1.46 | |||
| Luxembourg | −2.21* | −2.54 to −1.88 | 2000–02 | −4.37* | −6.55 to −2.14 | 2002–06 | −1.92* | −3.05 to −0.77 | 2006–15 | −3.09* | −3.33 to −2.85 | 2015–19 | 0.61 | −0.07–1.29 |
| Malta | −1.76* | −2.17 to −1.35 | 2000–13 | −1.62* | −1.77 to −1.48 | 2013–16 | −4.42* | −6.86 to −1.92 | 2016–19 | 0.35 | −0.89–1.6 | |||
| Mauritius | −0.68* | −0.83 to −0.53 | 2000–19 | −0.68* | −0.83 to −0.53 | |||||||||
| Mexico | −0.34* | −0.52 to −0.16 | 2000–16 | −0.51* | −0.61 to −0.41 | 2016–19 | 0.59 | −0.53–1.71 | ||||||
| The Netherlands | −1.06* | −1.34 to −0.77 | 2000–03 | 0.16 | −0.7–1.03 | 2003–06 | −3.6* | −5.24 to −1.93 | 2006–13 | −1.54* | −1.82 to −1.26 | 2013–19 | 0.19 | −0.07–0.45 |
| New Zealand | −1.6* | −1.92 to −1.28 | 2000–05 | −3.38* | −3.93 to −2.83 | 2005–12 | −2.08* | −2.5 to −1.66 | 2012–17 | −0.44 | −1.18–0.32 | 2017–19 | 1.74 | −0.48–4.01 |
| Nicaragua | 0.26 | −0.02–0.54 | 2000–05 | 1.77* | 1.22–2.32 | 2005–12 | −0.27* | −0.63–0.09 | 2012–16 | −1.78* | −2.76 to −0.79 | 2016–19 | 1.79* | 0.84–2.75 |
| North Macedonia | 0.72* | 0.53–0.9 | 2000–07 | 1.4* | 1.1–1.71 | 2007–16 | 0.81* | 0.6–1.03 | 2016–19 | −1.16* | −2.04 to −0.27 | |||
| Norway | −1.3* | −1.44 to −1.16 | 2000–07 | −1.06* | −1.23 to −0.88 | 2007–17 | −1.7* | −1.82 to −1.59 | 2017–19 | −0.16 | −1.37–1.06 | |||
| Panama | −0.81* | −1.1 to −0.52 | 2000–03 | 0.9 | −0.71–2.54 | 2003–11 | −1.48* | −1.86 to −1.09 | 2011–19 | −0.77* | −1.05 to −0.49 | |||
| Paraguay | 0.1 | −0.19–0.39 | 2000–04 | 1.59* | 0.81–2.37 | 2004–10 | −0.51* | −1 to −0.02 | 2010–14 | −1.21* | −2.23 to −0.18 | 2014–19 | 0.69* | 0.25–1.12 |
| Peru | −0.37* | −0.59 to −0.16 | 2000–07 | −0.9* | −1.09 to −0.71 | 2007–10 | 2.83* | 1.51–4.18 | 2010–15 | −1.62* | −1.99 to −1.24 | 2015–19 | −0.26 | −0.61–0.1 |
| Philippines | 0.11 | −0.02–0.25 | 2000–04 | −1.47* | −1.85 to −1.09 | 2004–09 | 0.71* | 0.35–1.07 | 2009–15 | 1.1* | 0.87–1.33 | 2015–19 | −0.5* | −0.79 to −0.21 |
| Poland | −0.35* | −0.52 to −0.17 | 2000–06 | −0.07 | −0.39–0.24 | 2006–11 | −1.06* | −1.61 to −0.5 | 2011–19 | −0.11 | −0.28–0.07 | |||
| Portugal | −1.72* | −1.83 to −1.62 | 2000–02 | −3.24* | −3.99 to −2.49 | 2002–07 | −2.53* | −2.77 to −2.29 | 2007–14 | −2.11* | −2.24 to −1.98 | 2014–19 | 0.27* | 0.1–0.44 |
| Korea, Republic of | −0.48* | −0.67 to −0.28 | 2000–08 | 0.63* | 0.47–0.78 | 2008–11 | −0.31 | −1.44–0.85 | 2011–16 | −2.07* | −2.39 to −1.74 | 2016–19 | −0.9* | −1.37 to −0.43 |
| Republic of Moldova | 2.6* | 2.2–3 | 2000–15 | 3.82* | 3.53–4.11 | 2015–19 | −1.86* | −3.54 to −0.15 | ||||||
| Romania | 0.54* | 0.27–0.8 | 2000–07 | 0.19 | −0.23–0.61 | 2007–15 | 1.2* | 0.8–1.59 | 2015–19 | −0.17 | −1.02–0.69 | |||
| Russian Federation | 0.87* | 0.68–1.05 | 2000–15 | 1.54* | 1.41–1.67 | 2015–19 | −1.63* | −2.45 to −0.8 | ||||||
| Saint Lucia | −0.17 | −0.62–0.27 | 2000–02 | 0.84 | −3.17–5.02 | 2002–11 | −1.93* | −2.34 to −1.53 | 2011–19 | 1.59* | 1.23–1.95 | |||
| Serbia | 0.91* | 0.45–1.36 | 2000–07 | 3.75* | 3.36–4.15 | 2007–11 | −1.12 | −2.38–0.15 | 2011–14 | 0.97 | −1.53–3.55 | 2014–19 | −1.4* | −1.94 to −0.85 |
| Singapore | −1.14* | −1.36 to −0.91 | 2000–03 | −2.71* | −3.77 to −1.63 | 2003–08 | −0.4 | −1.05–0.26 | 2008–19 | −1.04* | −1.15 to −0.93 | |||
| Slovakia | −0.08 | −0.34–0.18 | 2000–04 | −1.64 | −2.19 to −1.08 | 2004–12 | 1.73 | 1.51–1.96 | 2012–15 | −0.2 | −1.69–1.32 | 2015–19 | −1.99 | −2.44 to −1.53 |
| Slovenia | −0.58 | −0.86 to −0.3 | 2000–10 | −0.22 | −0.43 to −0.01 | 2010–14 | −2.3 | −3.5 to −1.08 | 2014–19 | 0.09 | −0.43–0.62 | |||
| South Africa | −0.32* | −0.48 to −0.16 | 2000–05 | −0.82* | −1.12 to −0.51 | 2005–10 | 1.19* | 0.78–1.61 | 2010–16 | 0.2 | −0.07–0.47 | 2016–19 | −2.99* | −3.54 to −2.44 |
| Spain | −1.66* | −1.83 to −1.48 | 2000–07 | −2.87* | −3 to −2.73 | 2007–12 | −2.02* | −2.35 to −1.7 | 2012–15 | −1.35* | −2.37 to −0.31 | 2015–19 | 0.72* | 0.4–1.04 |
| Sri Lanka | 0.05 | −0.09–0.19 | 2000–12 | 0.75* | 0.58–0.91 | 2012–19 | −1.12* | −1.43 to −0.82 | ||||||
| Suriname | 0.36* | 0.02–0.7 | 2000–02 | 4.01* | 1.76–6.3 | 2002–11 | −0.82* | −1.04 to −0.61 | 2011–14 | 2.23* | 0.41–4.1 | 2014–19 | −0.06 | −0.43–0.31 |
| Sweden | −1.53* | −1.64 to −1.43 | 2000–04 | −0.86* | −1.24 to −0.48 | 2004–14 | −2.37* | −2.48 to −2.26 | 2014–19 | −0.39* | −0.65 to −0.12 | |||
| Switzerland | −1.69* | −1.83 to −1.55 | 2000–13 | −2.32* | −2.37 to −2.28 | 2013–16 | −0.59 | −1.46–0.29 | 2016–19 | −0.01 | −0.43–0.41 | |||
| Syrian Arab Republic | −0.13 | −0.48–0.22 | 2000–03 | −3.24* | −4.21 to −2.26 | 2003–06 | −0.98 | −2.92–0.99 | 2006–10 | 2.19* | 1.26–3.13 | 2010–19 | 0.19* | 0.05–0.34 |
| Tajikistan | 0.75* | 0.54–0.97 | 2000–09 | 0.79* | 0.61–0.98 | 2009–17 | 1.6* | 1.35–1.85 | 2017–19 | −2.75* | −4.5 to −0.97 | |||
| Thailand | −0.94* | −1.16 to −0.73 | 2000–02 | −4.09* | −6.04 to −2.1 | 2002–13 | −1.22* | −1.36 to −1.08 | 2013–19 | 0.64* | 0.38–0.9 | |||
| Trinidad and Tobago | −0.8* | −1.1 to −0.5 | 2000–08 | −0.81* | −1.12 to −0.49 | 2008–12 | −2.17* | −3.5 to −0.82 | 2012–19 | 0 | −0.34–0.34 | |||
| Turkey | −0.72 | −1.77–0.34 | 2000–02 | 13.51* | 7.43–19.94 | 2002–05 | −0.51 | −5.14–4.33 | 2005–08 | −6.01* | −10.42 to −1.37 | 2008–19 | −1.71* | −2.02 to −1.41 |
| Turkmenistan | 0.29 | −0.34–0.92 | 2000–02 | −0.54 | −4.05–3.11 | 2002–06 | 2.47* | 0.77–4.21 | 2006–09 | −2.97 | −5.98–0.12 | 2009–19 | 0.58* | 0.36–0.8 |
| Ukraine | 0.23 | −0.13–0.59 | 2000–09 | −1.71* | −2.31 to −1.12 | 2009–19 | 2.01* | 1.5–2.52 | ||||||
| United Kingdom | −0.73* | −0.9 to −0.56 | 2000–02 | −0.59 | −1.86–0.69 | 2002–08 | −1.78* | −2.06 to −1.5 | 2008–14 | −0.53* | −0.8 to −0.25 | 2014–19 | 0.24 | −0.02–0.5 |
| United States of America | −1.22* | −1.38 to −1.06 | 2000–04 | −2.71* | −3.01 to −2.4 | 2004–10 | −1.99* | −2.21 to −1.77 | 2010–13 | −1.05* | −2 to −0.1 | 2013–19 | 0.48* | 0.33–0.63 |
| Uruguay | −0.8* | −1.01 to −0.59 | 2000–04 | 1.21* | 0.67–1.76 | 2004–09 | −1.28* | −1.8 to −0.75 | 2009–16 | −2.16* | −2.44 to −1.88 | 2016–19 | 0.56 | −0.29–1.41 |
| Uzbekistan | 0.52* | 0.21–0.83 | 2000–03 | 3.44* | 1.42–5.49 | 2003–19 | −0.02 | −0.16–0.13 | ||||||
| Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of | 0.17 | −0.6–0.96 | 2000–08 | 2.23* | 1.13–3.34 | 2008–15 | −3.78* | −5.17 to −2.38 | 2015–19 | 3.23* | 0.77–5.74 | |||
p-value < 0.05.
AAPC, Average Annual Percentage Change; EAPC, Estimated Annual Percentage Change.