Table 2.
Number and proportion of individuals aged 50–69 years not vaccinated for dose 1 of the COVID-19 vaccine between 8 December 2020 and 17 May 2021 in England and the odds of being unvaccinated from a multivariable logistic regression and mean adjusted prevalence from the model fit
| Characteristics | Dose 1 not vaccinated n/N (%) | Dose 1 multivariable regression OR and 95% CI | Dose 1 predictive margins (%) and 95% CI* | |
| Age (years) | 50–54 | 3 018 263/4 214 965 (71.6%) | Baseline | 15.07% (15.04 to 15.10) |
| 55–64 | 4 485 055/7518 324 (59.7%) | 0.81 (0.81 to 0.82) | 12.82% (12.8 to 12.85) | |
| 65–69 | 561 755/2 891 288 (19.4%) | 0.51 (0.51 to 0.51) | 8.72% (8.68 to 8.75) | |
| Urban/Rural status | Urban areas | 6 418 686/11 552 097 (55.6%) | Baseline | 13.17% (13.15 to 13.19) |
| Rural areas | 1 632 703/3 052 642 (53.5%) | 0.75 (0.74 to 0.75) | 10.39% (10.35 to 10.43) | |
| Other/Unknown | 13 684/19 838 (69.0%) | – | – | |
| Clinically extremely vulnerable/at risk (cohort 6) | Not at risk | 6 501 682/10 368 328 (62.7%) | Baseline | 14.18% (14.16 to 14.20) |
| At risk | 156 3391/4 256 249 (36.7%) | 0.59 (0.59 to 0.59) | 9.25% (9.22 to 9.28) | |
| Healthcare worker | Not healthcare worker | 8 003 303/14 162 182 (56.5%) | Baseline | 12.94% (12.93 to 12.96) |
| Healthcare worker | 61 770/462 395 (13.4%) | 0.34 (0.34 to 0.35) | 5.22% (5.16 to 5.28) | |
| IMD deprivation decile | Most deprived | 760 885/1 290 391 (59.0%) | Baseline | 20.57% (20.50 to 20.65) |
| 782 255/1 339 803 (58.4%) | 0.74 (0.74 to 0.75) | 16.52% (16.46 to 16.58) | ||
| 795 155/1 383 303 (57.5%) | 0.66 (0.65 to 0.66) | 15.00% (14.95 to 15.06) | ||
| 803 307/1 437 917 (55.9%) | 0.59 (0.59 to 0.60) | 13.88% (13.82 to 13.93) | ||
| 806 095/1 479 989 (54.5%) | 0.53 (0.53 to 0.53) | 12.69% (12.64 to 12.74) | ||
| 816 104/1 522 404 (53.6%) | 0.47 (0.47 to 0.48) | 11.60% (11.55 to 11.65) | ||
| 815 712/1 528 345 (53.4%) | 0.43 (0.43 to 0.43) | 10.72% (10.67 to 10.77) | ||
| 816 165/1 543 302 (52.9%) | 0.40 (0.39 to 0.40) | 9.97% (9.93 to 10.02) | ||
| 814 550/1 530 600 (53.2%) | 0.36 (0.35 to 0.36) | 9.14% (9.10 to 9.19) | ||
| Least deprived | 830 441/1 534 627 (54.1%) | 0.32 (0.31 to 0.32) | 8.23% (8.19 to 8.28) | |
| Unknown | 24 404/33 896 (72.0%) | – | – | |
| Ethnicity | White | 5 532 177/10 821 112 (51.1%) | Baseline | 9.07% (9.05 to 9.08) |
| Mixed/Multiple ethnic | 84 371/135 124 (62.4%) | 2.60 (2.57 to 2.64) | 19.97% (19.77 to 20.16) | |
| Indian | 152 271/325 697 (46.8%) | 1.19 (1.18 to 1.20) | 10.55% (10.45 to 10.64) | |
| Pakistani | 130 526/197 437 (66.1%) | 2.48 (2.46 to 2.51) | 19.26% (19.10 to 19.42) | |
| Other Asian or Asian | 177 291/305 023 (58.1%) | 1.56 (1.54 to 1.57) | 13.24% (13.13 to 13.35) | |
| Black/African/Caribbean | 306 972/450 853 (68.1%) | 3.32 (3.29 to 3.34) | 23.87% (23.75 to 23.98) | |
| Other ethnic group | 139 813/217 886 (64.2%) | 2.61 (2.59 to 2.64) | 20.01% (19.86 to 20.16) | |
| Not stated/Unknown | 1 541 652/2 171 445 (71.0%) | 3.40 (3.38 to 3.41) | 24.27% (24.21 to 24.32) | |
| Region | East of England | 966 550/1 721 713 (56.1%) | Baseline | 11.86% (11.81 to 11.91) |
| London | 1 197 210/2 056 938 (58.2%) | 1.85 (1.84 to 1.86) | 19.14% (19.09 to 19.19) | |
| Midlands | 1 508 576/2 758 546 (54.7%) | 0.98 (0.98 to 0.99) | 11.69% (11.66 to 11.73) | |
| North East and Yorkshire | 1 245 671/2 284 027 (54.5%) | 0.80 (0.79 to 0.81) | 9.85% (9.81 to 9.89) | |
| North West | 967 344/1 865 618 (51.9%) | 0.99 (0.98 to 1.00) | 11.77% (11.73 to 11.81) | |
| South East | 1 321 417/2 353 321 (56.2%) | 1.05 (1.05 to 1.06) | 12.37% (12.32 to 12.41) | |
| South West | 833 901/1 550 518 (53.8%) | 0.88 (0.88 to 0.89) | 10.70% (10.65 to 10.76) | |
| Unknown | 24 404/33 896 (72.0%) | – | – | |
| Sex | Female | 3 659 928/7 229 063 (50.6%) | Baseline | 11.45% (11.42 to 11.47) |
| Male | 4 388 976/7 376 483 (59.5%) | 1.27 (1.27 to 1.28) | 13.87% (13.84 to 13.89) | |
| Unknown | 16 169/19 031 (85.0%) | 0.78 (0.75 to 0.81) | 9.33% (9.01 to 9.65) | |
*The per cent vaccinated may fall outside the range of the predictive margins, as they are based on the effect of the adjusted multivariable model.