Table 2.
Summary of the results (performance measures) for K-SVR model for 4 random test weeks
Metric | Model | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-day ahead with weekend data | ||||||
MAPE (%) | K-SVR | 0.93 | 1.19 | 0.49 | 1.81 | 1.11 |
K-SVR(3) | 0.76 | 1.49 | 0.73 | 2.40 | 1.35 | |
ARIMA | 3.45 | 2.64 | 2.86 | 4.22 | 3.29 | |
MAE (bed/day) | K-SVR | 3.25 | 4.01 | 1.76 | 6.24 | 3.81 |
K-SVR(3) | 2.69 | 5.03 | 2.65 | 8.30 | 4.67 | |
ARIMA | 11.89 | 8.92 | 10.19 | 14.47 | 11.37 | |
RMSE (bed/day) | K-SVR | 3.46 | 5.45 | 1.90 | 6.64 | 4.36 |
K-SVR(3) | 3.15 | 6.31 | 3.32 | 9.08 | 5.98 | |
ARIMA | 13.68 | 9.87 | 10.55 | 15.27 | 12.34 | |
Error variance | K-SVR | 1.00E−05 | 1.20E−04 | 0.00E+00 | 4.00E−05 | 5.00E−05 |
K-SVR(3) | 2.12E−05 | 1.27E−04 | 2.86E−05 | 1.14E−04 | 7.27E−05 | |
ARIMA | 5.16E−04 | 2.05E−04 | 6.67E−05 | 2.68E−05 | 2.04E−04 | |
1-day ahead with weekend data | ||||||
MAPE (%) | K-SVR | 2.55 | 1.02 | 0.88 | 2.65 | 1.78 |
K-SVR(3) | 1.85 | 0.92 | 0.65 | 3.39 | 1.70 | |
ARIMA | 3.42 | 2.05 | 2.96 | 4.00 | 3.11 | |
MAE (bed/day) | K-SVR | 8.91 | 3.45 | 3.13 | 9.11 | 6.15 |
K-SVR(3) | 6.33 | 3.19 | 2.30 | 11.65 | 5.87 | |
ARIMA | 11.69 | 7.08 | 10.41 | 13.75 | 10.73 | |
RMSE (bed/day) | K-SVR | 11.74 | 4.33 | 3.93 | 9.65 | 7.41 |
K-SVR(3) | 8.11 | 3.61 | 3.01 | 12.05 | 7.63 | |
ARIMA | 14.56 | 10.06 | 12.40 | 15.22 | 13.06 | |
Error variance | K-SVR | 4.60E−04 | 1.00E−05 | 4.00E−05 | 9.00E−05 | 1.50E−04 |
K-SVR(3) | 2.34E−04 | 2.91E−05 | 3.12E−05 | 9.25E−05 | 9.67E−05 | |
ARIMA | 8.35E−04 | 5.07E−04 | 4.78E−04 | 4.58E−04 | 5.69E−04 |