Extended Data Table 1 |. Ancestry change over time in Britain.
We pool all individuals from each period and region removing those failing qpAdm modeling at p<0.01 according to Supplementary Table 5. In the left columns are qpAdm estimates of ancestry based on pre-Bronze Age source populations for each group. Below diagonal are Z-scores from f4(Row population, Column population; Turkey_N, OldSteppe) (highlighted in red if |Z|>3). Above diagonal are inbreeding-corrected FST values (highlighted in yellow if FST>0.005).
qpAdm results (3-way model) | Tests for difference in ancxestry between row & column (below diagonal f4-statistic Z-score, above-diagonal FST) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Sample size | P-value | WHG | EEF | Steppe | WHG error | EEF error | Steppe | England.and.Wales_N | England.and.Wales_C.EBA | England.and.Wales_MBA | England.and.Wales_LBA | England.and.Wales_IA | England.and.Wales_PostIA | England.and.Wales_Modern | Scotland_N | Scotland_C.EBA | Scotland_MBA | Scotland_LBA | Scotland_IA | Scotland_PostIA | Scotland_Modern | Ireland_N | Ireland_C.EBA | Ireland_PostIA | Ireland_Modern | Channel.Islands_8100.to.5700BP | Channel.Islands_5700.to.4450BP | Channel.Islands_IA | |
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England.and.Wales_N | 37 | 0.7597 | 20.8% | 76.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.02 | 0.0176 | 0.0171 | 0.0161 | 0.0219 | 0.0226 | 0.0013 | 0.0192 | 0.0188 | 0.0188 | 0.0197 | 0.0206 | 0.0239 | 0.0046 | 0.0275 | 0.0233 | 0.0225 | 0.0177 | 0.0073 | 0.0153 | |
England.and.Wales_C.EBA | 69 | 0.3840 | 12.6% | 31.0% | 56.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | −65.7 | 0.0007 | 0.0012 | 0.0017 | 0.0084 | 0.0107 | 0.0204 | 0.0013 | 0.0002 | 0.0013 | 0.0019 | 0.006 | 0.0109 | 0.0259 | 0.0112 | 0.0091 | 0.0085 | 0.0357 | 0.0173 | 0.0055 | |
England.and.Wales_MBA | 26 | 0.0918 | 13.5% | 34.7% | 51.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | −58.2 | −7.3 | 0.0004 | 0.0008 | 0.0066 | 0.0088 | 0.0181 | 0.0011 | 0.0009 | 0.0013 | 0.0016 | 0.004 | 0.009 | 0.0227 | 0.0099 | 0.0064 | 0.0071 | 0.0333 | 0.0151 | 0.0043 | |
England.and.Wales_LBA | 23 | 0.4609 | 13.6% | 36.1% | 50.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | −52.3 | −9.9 | 2.9 | 0.0006 | 0.0056 | 0.007 | 0.0179 | 0.0028 | 0.0012 | 0.0017 | 0.0022 | 0.0037 | 0.0077 | 0.0209 | 0.0089 | 0.0065 | 0.0052 | 0.0319 | 0.0141 | 0.0037 | |
England.and.Wales_IA | 273 | 0.3637 | 13.6% | 37.9% | 48.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | −63.9 | −19.4 | 7 | 2.3 | 0.0053 | 0.0073 | 0.0175 | 0.0027 | 0.0011 | 0.0016 | 0.0018 | 0.0035 | 0.0076 | 0.0204 | 0.0099 | 0.0064 | 0.0049 | 0.0306 | 0.0136 | 0.0032 | |
England.and.Wales_PostIA | 38 | 0.0002 | 15.0% | 36.6% | 48.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 61 | −11 | −2.5 | 1 | 5.8 | 0.003 | 0.0239 | 0.0085 | 0.0051 | 0.0074 | 0.0076 | 0.0014 | 0.0037 | 0.0188 | 0.0069 | 4E-05 | 0.0024 | 0.0333 | 0.017 | 0.0049 | |
England.and.Wales_Modern | 62 | 0.6315 | 14.1% | 40.0% | 45.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | −61.3 | −19.5 | −8.8 | −4 | −3.5 | 8.5 | 0.0243 | 0.0107 | 0.0071 | 0.0094 | 0.0097 | 0.0034 | 0.0016 | 0.0184 | 0.0083 | 0.0029 | 0.0021 | 0.034 | 0.0175 | 0.0072 | |
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Scotland_N | 44 | 0.6642 | 23.1% | 74.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.7 | −65.1 | −55.5 | −51.3 | −64.4 | −61.3 | −61.6 | 0.0184 | 0.0186 | 0.0182 | 0.0197 | 0.0227 | 0.026 | 0.0079 | 0.0296 | 0.0243 | 0.0248 | 0.0196 | 0.0084 | 0.0164 | |
Scotland_C.EBA | 10 | 0.1517 | 13.5% | 32.2% | 54.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 52 | −3 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 7.8 | −50.6 | 0.0011 | 0.002 | 0.0022 | 0.0064 | 0.0107 | 0.0243 | 0.0099 | 0.0079 | 0.0098 | 0.0338 | 0.0194 | 0.0067 | |
Scotland_MBA | 5 | 0.5635 | 14.0% | 32.3% | 53.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 45.2 | −1.7 | 2 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 7.4 | −44.8 | 0.5 | 0.0009 | 0.0013 | 0.0032 | 0.0074 | 0.0216 | 0.0078 | 0.007 | 0.0061 | 0.032 | 0.0132 | 0.0036 | |
Scotland_LBA | 4 | 0.8346 | 12.4% | 34.0% | 53.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 39.8 | −4 | −0.1 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 1 | 4.2 | −40.4 | −1.1 | 1.7 | 0.0002 | 0.0047 | 0.0098 | 0.0239 | 0.0101 | 0.0084 | 0.0074 | 0.0357 | 0.0152 | 0.007 | |
Scotland_IA | 18 | 0.1850 | 12.7% | 33.4% | 54.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 56.1 | −3.8 | 1.7 | 4.1 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 10.2 | −56 | 0.2 | 1.1 | −1.4 | 0.0047 | 0.0095 | 0.0251 | 0.0108 | 0.0083 | 0.0069 | 0.035 | 0.0178 | 0.0044 | |
Scotland_PostIA | 10 | 0.4713 | 12.9% | 36.4% | 50.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 50.4 | −7.4 | −1.5 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 48.3 | −2.5 | −3 | −0.6 | −2.9 | 0.0034 | 0.0189 | 0.0068 | 0.0021 | 0.0015 | 0.0331 | 0.0162 | 0.0037 | |
Scotia nd_Modern | 78 | 0.7341 | 14.3% | 37.5% | 48.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 62.1 | −12.9 | −3.5 | 0.2 | 5.1 | −1.2 | 7.9 | −62.4 | −4.2 | −4.5 | −1.5 | −5.5 | 1 | 0.0201 | 0.0089 | 0.0032 | 0.001 | 0.0352 | 0.0179 | 0.0078 | |
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Ireland_N | 51 | 0.6505 | 21.6% | 77.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | −0.5 | −69.3 | −59 | −54.9 | −69.3 | −65.8 | −65.9 | 3.3 | 51.4 | 45.4 | 40.9 | 57.2 | 52 | 67.2 | 0.0238 | 0.0189 | 0.019 | 0.0183 | 0.0081 | 0.0158 | |
Ireland_C.EBA | 3 | 0.4166 | 13.6% | 30.5% | 55.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 37.9 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 8 | 5.9 | 9 | −38 | −3.3 | −2.8 | −4.3 | −3.9 | −5.4 | −6.6 | −38.8 | 0.0056 | 0.0068 | 0.0408 | 0.0256 | 0.0094 | |
Ireland_PostIA | 3 | 0.0109 | 14.0% | 34.9% | 51.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 37.6 | −3.8 | −0.3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 | −37.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0 | 1.3 | −0.8 | −1.5 | 38.6 | −3.9 | 0.0027 | 0.0336 | 0.0166 | 0.0049 | |
Ireland_Modern | 30 | 0.6461 | 12.9% | 36.8% | 50.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 57.6 | −8.7 | 0 | 3.2 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 10.6 | −56.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.6 | −1.2 | −3.7 | −61.1 | −5.5 | −0.5 | 0.0346 | 0.0161 | 0.005 | |
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Channel.lslands_8100.to.5700BP | 3 | 0.7577 | 16.1% | 82.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5 | 36.4 | 33.7 | 31.8 | 32.7 | 33.2 | 31.8 | 4.4 | 33.8 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 33.9 | 32 | 33 | 3.3 | 29.8 | 29.3 | 30.3 | 0.0126 | 0.0266 | |
Channel.lslands_5700.to.4450BP | 3 | 0.4611 | 31.0% | 67.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | −7.9 | 28.1 | 24.7 | 23.7 | 23.8 | 24.4 | 22.7 | −7 | 24.1 | 23.3 | 20.8 | 24.9 | 23.4 | 24.4 | −8.3 | 23 | 20.5 | 21.1 | −8.4 | 0.0099 | |
Channel.Islands_IA | 4 | 0.8603 | 15.4% | 43.9% | 40.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | −28.3 | 11.3 | 7.5 | 6 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 4.2 | −27.3 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 6.4 | −29.3 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 22.4 | 13.8 |