Table 5. Economic consequences of smoking and the potential effects of price increase– 2020.
Economic consequences of smoking | |||
Category | ₦ (millions) | ||
Total health expenditure (THE) | 4,422,604 | ||
Gross domestic product (GDP) | 121,167,234 | ||
Tobacco-tax collection | 36,300 | ||
Smoking-attributable direct costs of treatment | 526,457 | ||
Treatment costs as % of GDP | 0.36% | ||
Treatment costs as % of THE | 9.63% | ||
% of treatment costs recovered with taxes | 6.90% | ||
% of total costs recovered with taxe | 5.73% | ||
Scenarios for price increase: 10 years effect for different % increase | |||
% increase in final price of a package | 25% | 50% | 75% |
Deaths prevented | 15 454 | 30 908 | 46 361 |
Heart disease avoided | 6 392 | 12 784 | 19 175 |
Number of Strokes avoided | 10 525 | 21 049 | 31 574 |
New cases of cancer avoided | 2 781 | 5 562 | 8 342 |
New cases of COPD avoided | 23 919 | 47 838 | 71 757 |
DALYs avoided | 520 374 | 1040 747 | 1561 121 |
Health costs avoided | ₦237,356.00 | ₦474,712.00 | ₦712,068.00 |
Informal caregivers costs avoided | ₦29,573.00 | ₦59,147.00 | ₦88,720.00 |
Productivity losses avoided | ₦31,848.00 | ₦63,688.00 | ₦95,522.00 |
Increase in tax collection | ₦222,385.00 | ₦369,068.00 | ₦440,050.00 |
Total economic benefit (in millions) | ₦521,161.00 | ₦966,615.00 | ₦1,336,359.00 |
₦: Nigerian Naira, exchange rate ₦ 306 = U$D 1, DALY: disability-adjusted life-years, GDP: gross domestic product, THE: total health expenditure.