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. 2022 Mar 2;17(3):e0264757. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0264757

Table 5. Economic consequences of smoking and the potential effects of price increase– 2020.

Economic consequences of smoking
Category ₦ (millions)
Total health expenditure (THE) 4,422,604
Gross domestic product (GDP) 121,167,234
Tobacco-tax collection 36,300
Smoking-attributable direct costs of treatment 526,457
Treatment costs as % of GDP 0.36%
Treatment costs as % of THE 9.63%
% of treatment costs recovered with taxes 6.90%
% of total costs recovered with taxe 5.73%
Scenarios for price increase: 10 years effect for different % increase
% increase in final price of a package 25% 50% 75%
Deaths prevented 15 454 30 908 46 361
Heart disease avoided 6 392 12 784 19 175
Number of Strokes avoided 10 525 21 049 31 574
New cases of cancer avoided 2 781 5 562 8 342
New cases of COPD avoided 23 919 47 838 71 757
DALYs avoided 520 374 1040 747 1561 121
Health costs avoided ₦237,356.00 ₦474,712.00 ₦712,068.00
Informal caregivers costs avoided ₦29,573.00 ₦59,147.00 ₦88,720.00
Productivity losses avoided ₦31,848.00 ₦63,688.00 ₦95,522.00
Increase in tax collection ₦222,385.00 ₦369,068.00 ₦440,050.00
Total economic benefit (in millions) 521,161.00 966,615.00 1,336,359.00

₦: Nigerian Naira, exchange rate ₦ 306 = U$D 1, DALY: disability-adjusted life-years, GDP: gross domestic product, THE: total health expenditure.