Table 6.
Panel A – Pre-COVID | Panel B – COVID-19 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dependent Variable | Bonds | Sukuk | Green Sukuk | Conventional Stock | Islamic Stocks | Bonds | Sukuk | Green Sukuk | Conventional Stock | Islamic Stocks |
Bonds | 1.1499 | 2.3452 | 67.904*** | 0.4654 | 1.2852 | 6.794** | 46.679*** | 0.66955 | ||
(0.563) | (0.310) | (0.000) | (0.792) | (0.526) | (0.033) | (0.000) | (0.715) | |||
Sukuk | 0.3423 | 3.1707 | 18.759*** | 1.938 | 0.0422 | 80.411*** | 1.0233 | 8.0294** | ||
(0.843) | (0.205) | (0.000) | (0.379) | (0.979) | (0.000) | (0.599) | (0.018) | |||
Green Sukuk | 0.2237 | 1.6002 | 32.047*** | 5.0952* | 1.1735 | 0.129 | 13.852*** | 4.7568* | ||
(0.894) | (0.449) | (0.000) | (0.078) | (0.556) | (0.938) | (0.001) | (0.093) | |||
Conventional Stock | 0.1483 | 3.9826 | 0.26059 | 4.5787 | 5.3209* | 13.796*** | 6.7266** | 3.2755 | ||
(0.929) | (0.137) | (0.878) | (0.101) | (0.070) | (0.001) | (0.035) | (0.194) | |||
Islamic Stocks | 2.4464 | 0.35056 | 3.802 | 10.545*** | 5.728* | 5.7216* | 0.6077 | 8.5643** | ||
(0.294) | (0.839) | (0.149) | (0.005) | (0.057) | (0.057) | (0.738) | (0.014) |
This table provides the results for robustness test using time series adjusted returns. Panel A provides the VAR Granger causality WALD test for the pre-COVID-19 period (March 4, 2019 to March 1, 2020) and Panel B provides VAR Granger causality WALD test for the COVID-19 period (March 2, 2020 to December 4, 2020). First column presenting the dependent variable. *, **, *** denote significance at 10%, 5%, 1% respectively. Two steps are performed. In the first step, time series adjusted returns have been calculated based on the regression equation: where is excess returns (raw returns in excess of the short rate), is the excess market return (which we proxy using the Jakarta stock exchange price), is the bilateral exchange rate (Rupiah vis-à-vis the US dollar), is the stock market return volatility and is the day-of-the-week effect, where Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday dummies are used