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. 2021 Sep 24;77(3):507–516. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glab272

Table 2.

Effects of Poor Sleep Burden on Incident Delirium

Poor Sleep Burden All Delirium (n = 4 775) Postoperative Delirium (n = 1 613) Nondementia-Related Delirium (n = 3 943)
HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p HR (95% CI) p
Model A
 Sleep score* 1.12 (1.10–1.14) <.001 1.10 (1.07–1.13) <.001 1.14 (1.12–1.17) <.001
 Mild 1.13 (1.06–1.20) <.001 1.23 (1.01–1.26) .02 1.14 (1.06–1.22) .002
 Moderate 1.44 (1.34–1.57) <.001 1.33 (1.17–1.53) <.001 1.51 (1.40–1.65) <.001
 Severe 2.23 (1.98–2.51) <.001 2.03 (1.64–2.51) <.001 2.47 (2.17–2.80) <.001
Model B
 Sleep score* 1.10 (1.08–1.13) <.001 1.09 (1.06–1.13) <.001 1.14 (1.11–1.16) <.001
 Mild 1.12 (1.05–1.20) .003 1.12 (1.00–1.25) .04 1.13 (1.06–1.21 <.001
 Moderate 1.43 (1.33–1.55) <.001 1.31 (1.14–1.50) <.001 1.50 (1.37–1.63) <.001
 Severe 2.18 (1.93–2.24) <.001 1.99 (1.60–2.48) <.001 2.41 (2.11–2.74) <.001
Model C
 Sleep score* 1.08 (1.06–1.10) <.001 1.08 (1.05–1.11) <.001 1.12 (1.10–1.14) <.001
 Mild 1.10 (1.03–1.17) .003 1.10 (0.98–1.22) .09 1.11 (1.03–1.19) .005
 Moderate 1.37 (1.27–1.48) <.001 1.25 (1.09–1.44) .001 1.42 (1.30–1.55) <.001
 Severe 2.01 (1.78–2.27) <.001 1.84 (1.48–2.29) <.001 2.17 (1.90–2.48) <.001
Model D
 Sleep score* 1.07 (1.06–1.09) <.001 1.05 (1.01–1.08) .005 1.07 (1.05–1.09) <.001
 Mild 1.05 (0.98–1.12) .18 1.06 (0.94–1.19) .33 1.05 (0.97–1.13) .22
 Moderate 1.18 (1.08–1.28) .002 1.09 (0.94–1.27) .24 1.20 (1.09–1.32) .002
 Severe 1.57 (1.38–1.80) <.001 1.45 (1.14–1.85) .0025 1.72 (1.49–1.98) <.001

Notes: HR = hazard ratio; 95% CI = 95% confidence interval. Cox proportional hazards models for the continuous sleep score (

*each 1-point increase), and comparing poor sleep burden groups against reference group “none/minimal,” for all delirium cases, postoperative delirium, and nondementia-related delirium subgroups. Model A is our core model adjusting for demographics (age, sex, education, ethnic background, and deprivation). Model B includes Model A plus sleep disorders. Model C includes Model B with physical activity, alcohol consumption, and body mass index. Model D adds on Model C with cardiovascular risk score, reaction time, comorbidities: dementia/Parkinson’s, respiratory disease, gastrointestinal diseases, renal diseases, cancer diagnosis, vitamin D status, and hypnotics. Two-sided p value for HR in comparison with the reference category, without adjustment for multiple comparisons.