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. 2022 Mar 4;110:105821. doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105821

Table 4.

Pandemic effects analysis based on estimates of α¯.

Country Stats.a GDP M2 CPI Unemployment Export Import Total reserve Exchange rate
DEU 2020H1 −5.59% 2.03% −0.15% 19.24% −17.30% −16.63% 7.86%
2020H2 (UP) −11.02% 4.08% −0.69% 33.14% −28.82% −24.74% 8.37%
2020H2 (DN) −10.92% 3.36% −0.57% 29.26% −26.18% −22.92% 8.66%
2021 (UP) −14.15% 4.20% −0.85% 37.49% −29.90% −26.03% 9.30%
2021 (DN) −4.86% 0.47% 0.20% 10.49% −9.11% −10.95% 7.82%
ESP 2020H1 −12.95% −0.85% 10.72% −18.90% −17.02% 0.60% −0.51%
2020H2 (UP) −25.86% −1.75% 22.05% −36.42% −35.68% 1.23% −0.35%
2020H2 (DN) −24.74% −1.60% 19.86% −34.09% −33.58% 1.09% −0.29%
2021 (UP) −21.77% −1.30% 15.86% −27.41% −27.57% 0.70% −0.21%
2021 (DN) −9.02% −0.39% 4.71% −9.28% −8.55% −0.04% −0.40%
IDN 2020H1 −8.88% 1.96% −0.20% 1.32% −11.92% −3.02% 5.84%
2020H2 (UP) −20.43% 3.42% −1.33% −16.42% −30.86% 2.51% 2.06%
2020H2 (DN) −18.71% 2.95% −1.25% −13.30% −28.35% −3.63% −1.53%
2021 (UP) −23.67% 3.53% −1.91% −19.60% −35.17% 8.59% −7.34%
2021 (DN) −8.38% 1.58% −0.39% 3.35% −11.27% 0.55% −4.23%
IND 2020H1 −11.53% 5.94% −4.21% −19.78% −27.36% 1.75% 3.67%
2020H2 (UP) −50.24% 9.02% −5.31% −2.21% −39.46% 2.80% 7.23%
2020H2 (DN) −47.85% 7.63% −4.57% 27.46% −24.89% 3.48% 5.16%
2021 (UP) −41.94% 6.77% −3.76% 92.17% 9.17% 4.42% 2.70%
2021 (DN) −14.96% 4.98% −3.08% 53.26% 14.54% 3.47% 0.37%
MEX 2020H1 −16.64% 4.85% 1.56% 25.29% −21.94% −22.07% 0.66% 12.16%
2020H2 (UP) −35.90% 4.47% 2.87% 27.73% −10.51% −28.80% 2.19% 7.36%
2020H2 (DN) −31.81% 2.04% 2.81% 29.57% 7.29% −18.60% 1.97% −1.45%
2021 (UP) −23.73% 0.72% 2.59% 24.37% 29.29% −5.26% 1.61% −3.76%
2021 (DN) −4.73% 0.01% 1.45% 13.67% 20.67% 6.15% 0.20% −1.85%
RUS 2020H1 5.11% 1.94% 0.34% 15.38% −20.84% −16.70% −2.03% 10.49%
2020H2 (UP) −4.01% 3.83% 1.04% 33.81% −24.36% −14.74% −4.67% 5.47%
2020H2 (DN) −2.99% 3.46% 0.89% 29.77% −24.31% −11.80% −4.22% 4.91%
2021 (UP) −3.15% 3.48% 0.89% 30.29% −24.51% −10.47% −4.24% 4.41%
2021 (DN) 6.85% 1.33% −0.01% 6.24% −21.99% −5.41% −1.10% 7.53%
USA 2020H1 −7.98% 7.61% −1.02% 74.84% −15.74% −9.50% −0.16%
2020H2 (UP) −18.03% 17.01% −2.07% 137.87% −33.17% −19.34% 1.36%
2020H2 (DN) −17.49% 16.31% −1.96% 130.72% −31.96% −18.64% 1.33%
2021 (UP) −17.71% 16.51% −1.96% 129.91% −32.08% −18.73% 1.41%
2021 (DN) −12.92% 11.40% −1.32% 89.47% −23.29% −13.57% 0.81%

Notes.

a

Data in this table are all pandemic effect estimates α¯. 2020H1: α¯2020H1, 2020H2 (UP): α¯2020H2UP, 2020H2 (DN): α¯2020H2DN, 2021 (UP): α¯2021UP, 2021 (DN): α¯2021DN.