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Forecasting life losses with natural disasters.
| Disasters | 1,000 fatalities per event |
|
|---|---|---|
| Exposure time | ||
| 1 year |
2 years |
|
| Probability of occurrence % | ≈Probability of occurrence % | |
| Earthquakes | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Hurricanes | 6.0 | 12.0 |
| Floods | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Tornadoes | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Arithmetic means of all disasters | 2.0 | 4.0 |
Sources: USGS, Natural Disasters—Forecasting Economic and Life Losses, https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/natural-disasters/figures/fig9.html (accessed January 2022).
