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. 2022 Mar 5;211:113062. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113062

Table 2.

Comparative probability of proposed events based on a meta-analysis.

Event A
Natural (zoonotic ) spillover of new coronavirus
Event B
Accident of lab in the process of research for science advances
Average probability of occurrence of a big natural event generating more than 6.00 M deaths worldwide in two years Average probability of an accident of laboratory in life sciences
≈0% (rare event, low risk) ≈13–20% (medium risk)

Source: personal elaboration by author (2022).