Table 2.
Comparative probability of proposed events based on a meta-analysis.
Event A Natural (zoonotic ) spillover of new coronavirus |
Event B Accident of lab in the process of research for science advances |
Average probability of occurrence of a big natural event generating more than 6.00 M deaths worldwide in two years | Average probability of an accident of laboratory in life sciences |
≈0% (rare event, low risk) | ≈13–20% (medium risk) |
Source: personal elaboration by author (2022).