TABLE XII. ME of the Active Fatality Model Fits. The Model With the Better (Closest to Zero) ME is Highlighted in Boldface Font.
| ARIMA | Random Walk | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best | Worst | Avg. | Best | Worst | Avg. | |
| 0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 | 0.000 |
|
|
0.000 |
|
|
| 2 |
|
|
|
0.001 |
|
|
| 3 | 0.003 |
|
|
0.003 |
|
|
| 4 | 0.000 |
|
|
0.000 |
|
|
| 5 | 0.002 |
|
|
0.002 |
|
|
| 6 | 0.000 |
|
|
0.000 | 1.629 | 0.056 |
| 7 | 0.001 |
|
|
0.001 |
|
|
| 8 | 0.007 |
|
|
|
|
|





































