TABLE VII. RMSE of the Active Infection Model Fits. The Model With the Better (lower) RMSE is Highlighted in Boldface Font.
ARIMA | Random Walk | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best | Worst | Avg. | Best | Worst | Avg. | |
0 | 0.0064 | 1.8044 | 0.8246 | |||
1 | 0.0033 | 2.7002 | 1.2055 | |||
2 | 0.0561 | 4.3354 | 2.1262 | |||
3 | 0.0102 | 11.9887 | 4.4232 | |||
4 | 0.0227 | 6.2542 | 2.0357 | |||
5 | 0.0045 | 4.1838 | 2.3303 | |||
6 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 17.5091 | 9.5875 | ||
7 | 0.0223 | 5.4394 | 2.2002 | |||
8 | 0.0169 | 6.2978 | 3.7096 |