TABLE VIII. RMSE of the Active Fatality Model Fits. The Model With the Better (lower) RMSE is Highlighted in Boldface Font.
ARIMA | Random Walk | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best | Worst | Avg. | Best | Worst | Avg. | |
0 | 0.0003 | 0.0968 | 0.0592 | |||
1 | 0.0006 | 0.2183 | 0.1171 | |||
2 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.3087 | 0.1658 | ||
3 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.6089 | 0.1946 | ||
4 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.3429 | 0.0989 | ||
5 | 0.0011 | 0.2824 | 0.1644 | |||
6 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 1.2757 | 0.6925 | ||
7 | 0.0015 | 0.4160 | 0.1768 | |||
8 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.4367 | 0.2105 |