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Analytic scenarios
| Scenario | Model | Time-varying period | Constant period | No-vaccination scenario |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scenario 0 | Constant CFRs [9, 10] | NA | 2000–2030 | (a) Constant CFRs |
| Scenario 1 | Time-varying CFRs [5] | 2000–2018 | 2019–2030 | (a) Constant CFRs |
| (b) Time-varying CFRs | ||||
| Scenario 2 | Time-varying CFRs [5] | 2000–2030 | NA | (a) Constant CFRs |
| (b) Time-varying CFRs |
Note: CFR case fatality ratio, NA not applicable
