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Comparison of control measures: projected lockdown duration after the incidence peak, until new cases fall below 10 per day.
| Vaccination | Vaccination | Lockdown trigger | Post-peak duration (days) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scenario | uptake | (cumulative cases) | SD = 0.7 | SD = 0.8 | SD = 0.9 |
| Pre-pandemic | 6% | 100 | 55 | 28 | 17 |
| Progressive | → 40% | 400 | 45 | 33 | 25 |
