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Estimates (across Australia) of the peak demand in hospitalisations and ICUs; and cumulative fatalities (15 October 2021).
| Scenario | Peak hospitalisations: | Peak ICU demand: | Cumulative fatalities: |
|---|---|---|---|
| mean and 95% CI | mean and 95% CI | mean and 95% CI | |
| SD = 0.4 | 4805 [4282, 5257] | 812 [731, 885] | 1201 [1057, 1326] |
| SD = 0.5 | 1604 [1358, 1844] | 272 [230, 312] | 539 [479, 624] |
| SD = 0.6 | 533 [476, 579] | 91 [80, 99] | 235 [209, 256] |
| Actual | 1551 (28 September) | 308 (12 October) | 596 (15 October) |
