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. 2022 Mar 17;21:92. doi: 10.1186/s12936-022-04099-5

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© The Author(s) 2022

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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Fig. 4 — Predicted impact on prevalence for discontinuation of ITN mass campaigns in the very low, low, and urban strata. A The bar charts show the mean and 95% confidence interval of council prevalence aggregated per strata comparing improved CM without ITN-MRC distribution in 2019 (blue) to improved CM with ITN-MRC distribution in 2019 (orange). B Prevalence per pre-intervention transmission intensity per council in the very low-risk stratum compared for the two scenarios with or without additional ITNs for the years 2016, 2020 and 2022. The points indicate the posterior median, the error bars and the credible intervals resulting from the model calibration. The dashed line highlights a prevalence of one percent