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. 2022 Mar 17;19(3):e1003942. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003942

Table 5. Association between rise and fall of blood pressure and incident any stroke using different lag periods.

Lag period (years) n/N Tertile 1 Tertile 2 HR Tertile 3
HR (95% CI) p-Value HR (95% CI) p-Value
Systolic blood pressure
3 541/7,241 1.54 (1.32–1.75) <0.001 1 (ref) 1.31 (1.09–1.52) 0.01
6 212/4,862 2.07 (1.68–2.45) <0.001 1 (ref) 1.80 (1.43–2.18) <0.001
9 118/1,593 2.16 (1.58–2.73) 0.01 1 (ref) 1.88 (1.32–2.43) 0.03
Diastolic blood pressure
3 541/7,238 1.46 (1.25–1.67) <0.001 1 (ref) 1.00 (0.78–1.22) 0.99
6 212/4,859 1.49 (1.14–1.84) 0.03 1 (ref) 1.19 (0.84–1.54) 0.34
9 118/1,591 1.38 (0.89–1.87) 0.19 1 (ref) 1.12 (0.62–1.62) 0.67

Values in bold are statistically significant. Adjusted for age, sex, mean systolic or diastolic blood pressure, and propensity score. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; n, number of participants with incident any stroke; N, total number of participants at risk; ref, reference.