Table 4.
Predictive performance of the combinations of feature sets.
|
LeadTime (day)/
feature sets |
Metrics | LIWC | Topic | Temporal features of the OPHS | COVID-19 cases | The combination of all four feature sets | Optimal features combination | Performance of the optimal combination | Prophet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAE | 7.758 | 7.392 | 6.550 | 11.882 | 6.265 | Topic & Timeseries & Covid19 pandemic | 6.211 | 5.93 |
| Pearson Coef | 0.731** | 0.781** | 0.798** | 0.822** | 0.884** | 0.898** | 0.923** | ||
| 3 | MAE | 8.149 | 7.705 | 6.214 | 13.396 | 5.929 | Topic & timeseries | 5.780 | 5.96 |
| Pearson Coef | 0.876** | 0.898** | 0.885** | 0.906** | 0.911** | 0.932** | 0.911** | ||
| 7 | MAE | 8.258 | 8.343 | 6.470 | 11.947 | 6.400 | Topic & timeseries | 6.223 | 6.34 |
| Pearson Coef | 0.916** | 0.876** | 0.913** | 0.913** | 0.924** | 0.940** | 0.908** | ||
| 14 | MAE | 9.258 | 8.881 | 8.416 | 12.953 | 7.779 | LIWC & topic & Timeseries & Covid-19 pandemic | 7.779 | 5.92 |
| Pearson Coef | 0.928** | 0.93** | 0.931** | 0.901** | 0.942** | 0.942** | 0.903** |
p < 0.001.