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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Liver Int. 2022 Jan 30;42(4):765–774. doi: 10.1111/liv.15151

FIGURE 3.

FIGURE 3

Estimated number of cirrhosis deaths as predicted by the model (black) and as predicted by the counterfactual GAMM model (grey). Significant policies included Policy 1 in January 2008, and Policy 2 in March 2017, estimates were made for the 12-month period after the implementation of each policy, with 95% Cls. Estimated deaths averted were computed as the difference between the policy model and the counterfactual GAMM model: 493 deaths averted following Policy 1 and 245 deaths averted following Policy 2