Table 2.

Time-varying regressions with bins of monthly temperature anomalies (0.2–0.4${}^{\circ }\text{C}$ is the reference bin).

	Moderate to severe	Severe
SHDI	− 2.631	− 2.147
	(− 2.848, − 2.414)	(− 2.292, − 2.002)
Drought (SPI-6)	0.014	0.008
	(0.012, 0.016)	(0.007, 0.009)
Temperature anomaly(t)
2014: $<0.2^{\circ }\text{C}$	− 0.008	− 0.005
	(− 0.007, − 0.011)	(− 0.004, − 0.006)
2015: $<0.2^{\circ }\text{C}$	− 0.009	− 0.006
	(− 0.008, − 0.010)	(− 0.003, − 0.009)
2016: $<0.2^{\circ }\text{C}$	− 0.009	− 0.005
	(− 0.007, − 0.011)	(− 0.003, − 0.007)
2017: $<0.2^{\circ }\text{C}$	− 0.008	− 0.006
	(− 0.004, − 0.011)	(− 0.003, − 0.009)
2018: $<0.2^{\circ }\text{C}$	− 0.010	− 0.005
	(− 0.008, − 0.012)	(− 0.004, − 0.006)
2019: $<0.2^{\circ }\text{C}$	− 0.009	− 0.006
	(− 0.007, − 0.011)	(− 0.004, − 0.007)
2014: 0.4–0.6${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.028	0.020
	(0.026, 0.030)	(0.018, 0.022)
2015: 0.4–0.6${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.030	0.021
	(0.027, 0.033)	(0.017, 0.025)
2016: 0.4–0.6${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.031	0.022
	(0.030, 0.032)	(0.019, 0.024)
2017: 0.4 –0.6${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.033	0.024
	(0.031, 0.035)	(0.022, 0.026)
2018: 0.4 –0.6${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.033	0.024
	(0.030, 0.036)	(0.021, 0.027)
2019: 0.4 –0.6${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.035	0.026
	(0.033, 0.037)	(0.024, 0.028)
2014: 0.6–0.8${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.039	0.030
	(0.037, 0.041)	(0.028, 0.032)
2015: 0.6–0.8${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.040	0.031
	(0.039, 0.041)	(0.029, 0.033)
2016: 0.6–0.8${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.041	0.033
	(0.039, 0.043)	(0.031, 0.034)
2017: 0.6–0.8${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.043	0.035
	(0.040, 0.046)	(0.033, 0.037)
2018: 0.6 –0.8${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.042	0.034
	(0.040, 0.044)	(0.031, 0.037)
2019: 0.6–0.8${}^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.044	0.036
	(0.043, 0.045)	(0.033, 0.039)
2014: $>0.8^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.047	0.039
	(0.044, 0.050)	(0.037, 0.041)
2015: $>0.8^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.048	0.041
	(0.046, 0.050)	(0.038, 0.044)
2016: $>0.8^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.050	0.042
	(0.047, 0.053)	(0.039, 0.045)
2017: $>0.8^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.051	0.043
	(0.049, 0.053)	(0.040, 0.046)
2018: $>0.8^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.050	0.043
	(0.047, 0.053)	(0.042, 0.044)
2019: $>0.8^{\circ }\text{C}$	0.054	0.045
	(0.052, 0.056)	(0.043, 0.047)