Table 4.

Comparison of forecasting performance

Method	MAPE (%)			RMSE (people)
	3 months	6 months	12 months	3 months	6 months	12 months
Decomposition	1.04	1.81	1.62	42,054.29	71,285.35	62,522.32
Holt–Winter	2.01	2.81	3.05	75,291.41	115,287.00	116,954.59
Box–Jenkins	2.54	4.51	2.86	97,749.53	164,327.05	123,202.81