Table 3.
Initial population values used for data calibration of the model (2) for the countries China, USA, UK, Italy, France, Germany, Spain and Iran for phase 1, phase 2, phase 3 and phase 4
| Initial population | China | USA | UK | Italy | France | Germany | Spain | Iran |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | ||||||||
| S(0) | 90000 | 1113000 | 187500 | 209500 | 200000 | 169000 | 240000 | 98000 |
| E(0) | 88000 | 1112000 | 186500 | 209000 | 190000 | 166000 | 230000 | 98000 |
| A(0) | 86000 | 1111000 | 185500 | 208000 | 180000 | 165000 | 220000 | 97000 |
| I(0) | 84000 | 1110000 | 183500 | 207000 | 170000 | 164000 | 200000 | 96000 |
| Q(0) | 82000 | 1109000 | 182500 | 206000 | 160000 | 163000 | 190000 | 94000 |
| H(0) | 80000 | 1108000 | 181500 | 205000 | 150000 | 162000 | 180000 | 93000 |
| Phase 2 | ||||||||
| S(0) | 92000 | 6100000 | 370000 | 300000 | 190000 | 276000 | 500000 | 410000 |
| E(0) | 91000 | 6090000 | 360000 | 290000 | 180000 | 266000 | 490000 | 400000 |
| A(0) | 90000 | 6080000 | 350000 | 280000 | 170000 | 256000 | 480000 | 390000 |
| I(0) | 89780 | 6070000 | 340000 | 270000 | 169367 | 246000 | 470973 | 376894 |
| Q(0) | 89000 | 6060000 | 330000 | 260000 | 150000 | 236000 | 460000 | 360000 |
| H(0) | 88000 | 6050000 | 320000 | 250000 | 140000 | 226000 | 450000 | 350000 |
| Phase 3 | ||||||||
| S(0) | 99000 | 20700000 | 2900000 | 2357000 | 2997000 | 2132150 | 2230000 | 1534000 |
| E(0) | 98000 | 20600000 | 2800000 | 2446000 | 2840000 | 2093400 | 2130000 | 1430000 |
| A(0) | 97000 | 20500000 | 2700000 | 2525000 | 2743000 | 1966500 | 2030000 | 1320000 |
| I(0) | 96023 | 20400000 | 2600000 | 2129376 | 2637018 | 1762637 | 1930000 | 1231429 |
| Q(0) | 95000 | 20300000 | 2500000 | 2000000 | 2540000 | 1656000 | 1830000 | 1120000 |
| H(0) | 94000 | 20200000 | 2400000 | 1945000 | 2430000 | 1554000 | 1730000 | 1100000 |
| Phase 4 | ||||||||
| S(0) | 130000 | 35520000 | 4700000 | 7110000 | 6100000 | 3700000 | 3800000 | 2815000 |
| E(0) | 120000 | 34560000 | 4600000 | 6220000 | 5920000 | 3600000 | 3700000 | 2702400 |
| A(0) | 110000 | 33540000 | 4500000 | 5330000 | 5820000 | 3500000 | 3600000 | 2622000 |
| I(0) | 102517 | 32463748 | 4434157 | 4035617 | 5703499 | 3423900 | 3524077 | 2516157 |
| Q(0) | 90000 | 31510000 | 4300000 | 3240000 | 5630000 | 3323900 | 3424077 | 2316159 |
| H(0) | 80000 | 30520000 | 4200000 | 2205000 | 5540000 | 3200000 | 3324077 | 2216157 |