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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Oncol. 2021 Jun 7;22(7):1014–1022. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00189-3

Table 3.

Estimated proportions (with corresponding 95% confidence intervals) of Lynch syndrome carriers with less than 20%, between 40% and 60%, and more than 80% penetrance*, by sex, gene and continent

Proportion of female carriers with Proportion of male carriers with

Gene Continent <20% Penetrance 40–60% Penetrance >80% Penetrance <20% Penetrance 40–60% Penetrance >80% Penetrance
MLH1 Europe 44% (20-64%) 12% (7-19%) 15% (6-28%) 23% (6-42%) 14% (10-20%) 33% (18-51%)
North America 31% (16-46%) 14% (11-18%)) 23% (14-36%) 22% (9-36%) 14% (11-18%) 33% (20-49%)
Australasia 20% (2-45%) 19% (12-30%) 22% (6-48%) 14% (1-36%) 18% (11-28%) 30% (10-59%)

MSH2 Europe 56% (30-74%) 10% (6-17%) 9% (2-22%) 36% (15-55%) 13% (9-20%) 21% (9-35%)
North America 32% (16-48%) 14% (10-18%) 22% (13-35%) 32% (17-46%) 14% (11-18%) 23% (14-34%)
Australasia 36% (5-65%) 16% (8-29%) 11% (1-37%) 7% (0-28%) 16% (5-25%) 44% (17-82%)

MSH6 Europe 84% (65-94%) 4% (1-8%) 2% (0-5%) 67% (41-84%) 8% (3-14%) 5% (1-15%)
North America 70% (46-85%) 7% (3-13%) 4% (1-12%) 50% (25-70%) 11% (7-17%) 11% (4-26%)
Australasia 63% (23-86%) 9% (3-21%) 3% (0-12%) 61% (9-89%) 9% (2-24%) 3% (0-26%)

PMS2 Europe 72% (44-87%) 6% (3-13%) 4% (1-11%) 81% (57-92%) 4% (2-10%) 2% (0-7%)
North America 83% (55-95%) 4% (1-10%) 2% (0-9%) 69% (29-88%) 7% (2-15%) 4% (1-24%)
Australasia 74% (22-96%) 6% (0-20%) 1% (0-15%) 63% (14-92%) 9% (1-23%) 3% (0-24%)
*

age-specific cumulative risk of colorectal cancer to age 80 years