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. 2022 Mar 9:1–9. doi: 10.1080/03007995.2022.2042991

Table 4.

Multivariable analysis, effect size, and validation of models.

Composite index/inflammatory marker Model Effect size*
Validation
OR (CI 95%) p AUC (CI 95%) p Standardized residuals
Mean ± SD
Women            
 C1 index Logistic regression (DV: PCS) Adjusted OR = 5.14 (1.6–16.4) 0.006 0.76 (0.63–0.89) 0.001
 C3 index Logistic regression (DV: PCS) Adjusted OR = 4.20 (1.3–13.3) 0.015 0.72 (0.57–0.86) 0.005
 C4 index Logistic regression (DV: PCS) Adjusted OR = 4.12 (1.3–13.1) 0.016 0.71 (0.57–0.85) 0.006
 Neutrophil count (×103/µL) General linear model (Fixed factor: Anosmia) (Anosmia+) 3.43 ± 0.3 (Anosmia−) 2.58 ± 0.1 0.014 0 ± 0.95
 Neutrophil count (×103/µL) General linear model (Fixed factor: Ageusia) (Ageusia+) 3.89 ± 0.3 (Ageusia−) 2.59 ± 0.1 0.002 0 ± 0.95
Men            
 CRp > 0.3 and < 1.0 mg/dL Logistic regression (DV: PCS) Adjusted OR = 12.9 (1.3–121) 0.025 0.76 (0.58–0.94) 0.025
 C2 index Logistic regression (DV: PCS) Adjusted OR = 10.1 (1.2–85) 0.033 0.75 (0.55–0.95) 0.029
 C5 index Logistic regression (DV: PCS) Adjusted OR = 17.5 (2–153) 0.010 0.82 (0.65–0.98) 0.003
 Neutrophil count (×103/µL) General linear model (Fixed factor: Fatigue) (Fatigue+) 4.68 ± 0.6 (Fatigue−) 3.37 ± 0.1 0.041   0 ± 0.93

* After adjusting for age, BMI, Charlson index and tobacco consumption.

Abbreviations. DV, Dependent variable; PCS, Post-COVID syndrome; CRP, C-reactive protein; BMI, Body mass index; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; AUC, Area under the (ROC) curve; SD, Standard deviation.

Validation of the models: AUC values ranged between 0.71 and 0.82, and the standardised residuals showed a normal distribution, with a curve of mean = 0 and SD = 1. R2 values were 0.27, 0.54, 0.23, 0.23, 0.58 and 0.54, for composite indices C1, C2, C3, C4 and C5, respectively.