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. 2022 Mar 16;17:569–578. doi: 10.2147/COPD.S344669

Table 4.

Risk of Exacerbation During the Three Year Follow Up, Accounting for Recurrent Events

Hazard Ratio* Lower 5% CI Upper 95% CI P-value
GOLD B group
 B0 Ref
 B1 1.214 1.181 1.248 <0.001
Age 1.004 1.003 1.006 <0.001
Sex
 Male Ref
 Female 1.041 1.012 1.071 0.0051
Cohabitation status
 Not cohabitating Ref
 Cohabitating 1.079 1.050 1.110 <0.001
mMRC symptom score
 2 Ref
 3 1.055 1.023 1.087 <0.001
 4 1.145 1.100 1.191 <0.001
FEV1 (% predicted)
 80+ Ref
 50–79 1.074 0.984 1.173 0.1095
 30–49 1.265 1.160 1.381 <0.001
 <30 1.420 1.297 1.555 <0.001
BMI (kg/m2)
 <18 Ref
 18–24 0.916 0.873 0.961 <0.001
 25–29 0.875 0.832 0.920 <0.001
 30–34 0.853 0.807 0.901 <0.001
 35+ 0.893 0.839 0.951 <0.001
Smoking
 Smoking present Ref
 Never smoked 0.853 0.807 0.901 <0.001
 Smoking earlier 0.893 0.839 0.951 <0.001
Comorbidity (CCI) 1.010 0.994 1.027 0.2306

Note: *Adjusted for age, sex, cohabitation status, comorbidity, BMI and smoking.

Abbreviations: CI, confidence Interval; mMRC, modified Medical Research Council; FEV1, forced expired volume in the first second; BMI, body mass index.