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. 2022 Mar 22;327(12):1138–1148. doi: 10.1001/jama.2022.2518

Table 2. Association of Left Atrial Measures With Incident Dementia: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, 2011-2019 (N = 4096).

No. incident dementia/No. at risk Incidence rate, per 100 person-yearsa Incidence rate difference (95% CI), per 100 person-yearsa Hazard ratio (95% CI)b
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
LA reservoir strain, %
≤26.72 190/819 4.80 3.25 (2.48 to 4.01) 2.09 (1.58 to 2.76) 2.00 (1.51 to 2.64) 1.98 (1.42 to 2.75)
26.73-30.59 102/820 2.09 0.54 (0.01 to 1.07) 1.02 (0.76 to 1.38) 1.00 (0.74 to 1.34) 1.01 (0.74 to 1.38)
30.60-34.41 86/819 1.72 0.17 (−0.33 to 0.67) 0.93 (0.68 to 1.26) 0.92 (0.67 to 1.25) 0.94 (0.68 to 1.28)
34.42-39.40 74/819 1.46 −0.09 (−0.57 to 0.39) 0.87 (0.63 to 1.20) 0.86 (0.63 to 1.19) 0.87 (0.63 to 1.20)
≥39.41 79/819 1.55 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
LA conduit strain, %
≤9.90 167/819 3.94 2.66 (1.99 to 3.33) 1.81 (1.34 to 2.44) 1.75 (1.30 to 2.37) 1.50 (1.09 to 2.06)
9.91-13.06 120/817 2.57 1.29 (0.73 to 1.84) 1.45 (1.07 to 1.97) 1.39 (1.02 to 1.89) 1.29 (0.94 to 1.77)
13.07-15.89 89/821 1.82 0.54 (0.06 to 1.03) 1.13 (0.82 to 1.56) 1.12 (0.81 to 1.55) 1.08 (0.78 to 1.49)
15.90-19.52 89/820 1.77 0.49 (0.01 to 0.97) 1.19 (0.87 to 1.64) 1.19 (0.86 to 1.64) 1.17 (0.85 to 1.61)
≥19.53 66/819 1.28 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
LA contractile strain, %
≤13.47 143/819 3.29 1.49 (0.83 to 2.14) 1.75 (1.33 to 2.30) 1.70 (1.29 to 2.23) 1.57 (1.16 to 2.14)
13.48-16.62 104/819 2.14 0.34 (−0.21 to 0.90) 1.15 (0.86 to 1.53) 1.09 (0.82 to 1.45) 1.06 (0.79 to 1.42)
16.63-19.17 95/819 1.96 0.16 (−0.38 to 0.70) 1.11 (0.83 to 1.48) 1.11 (0.83 to 1.49) 1.07 (0.80 to 1.44)
19.18-22.37 100/821 2.00 0.20 (−0.34 to 0.74) 1.14 (0.85 to 1.52) 1.12 (0.84 to 1.49) 1.09 (0.82 to 1.46)
≥22.38 89/818 1.80 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
LA emptying fraction, %
≤50.92 176/819 4.20 2.70 (1.99 to 3.40) 1.87 (1.42 to 2.47) 1.78 (1.34 to 2.36) 1.87 (1.31 to 2.65)
50.93-56.58 111/819 2.32 0.82 (0.28 to 1.37) 1.19 (0.88 to 1.59) 1.17 (0.87 to 1.58) 1.20 (0.87 to 1.66)
56.59-61.28 91/820 1.83 0.33 (−0.17 to 0.84) 1.08 (0.79 to 1.47) 1.07 (0.79 to 1.46) 1.09 (0.80 to 1.50)
61.29-66.17 77/819 1.55 0.05 (−0.43 to 0.54) 1.01 (0.74 to 1.39) 1.01 (0.73 to 1.38) 1.01 (0.74 to 1.40)
≥66.18 76/819 1.50 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
LA passive emptying fraction, %
≤17.63 161/819 3.67 2.18 (1.52 to 2.84) 1.49 (1.12 to 1.98) 1.45 (1.09 to 1.92) 1.26 (0.93 to 1.71)
17.64-23.66 97/819 2.06 0.57 (0.05 to 1.10) 1.04 (0.76 to 1.41) 1.04 (0.76 to 1.41) 0.97 (0.71 to 1.33)
23.67-28.68 110/820 2.27 0.78 (0.25 to 1.33) 1.23 (0.91 to 1.65) 1.22 (0.91 to 1.64) 1.15 (0.85 to 1.56)
28.69-35.20 87/819 1.77 0.28 (−0.22 to 0.78) 1.04 (0.76 to 1.41) 1.05 (0.77 to 1.43) 1.03 (0.75 to 1.40)
>35.20 76/819 1.49 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
LA active emptying fraction, %
≤35.15 145/819 3.27 1.53 (0.89 to 2.18) 1.56 (1.19 to 2.05) 1.50 (1.14 to 1.97) 1.43 (1.04 to 1.96)
35.16-41.05 108/819 2.28 0.54 (−0.02 to 1.11) 1.23 (0.92 to 1.64) 1.18 (0.88 to 1.57) 1.12 (0.83 to 1.51)
41.06-46.07 105/820 2.11 0.37 (−0.17 to 0.92) 1.09 (0.82 to 1.45) 1.08 (0.81 to 1.45) 1.04 (0.77 to 1.40)
46.09-51.88 87/819 1.78 0.04 (−0.48 to 0.57) 0.99 (0.73 to 1.34) 0.99 (0.74 to 1.34) 0.99 (0.73 to 1.33)
≥51.89 86/819 1.74 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Maximal LA volume index, mL/m2
≤24.69 103/819 2.12 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
24.70-29.77 88/819 1.80 −0.32 (−0.87 to 0.24) 0.75 (0.56 to 0.99) 0.77 (0.57 to 1.02) 0.74 (0.55 to 0.99)
29.78-34.85 96/820 1.96 −0.16 (−0.72 to 0.41) 0.79 (0.59 to 1.04) 0.81 (0.61 to 1.07) 0.76 (0.57 to 1.01)
34.86-41.65 100/819 2.07 −0.05 (−0.62 to 0.53) 0.78 (0.59 to 1.04) 0.79 (0.59 to 1.04) 0.71 (0.53 to 0.94)
≥41.66 144/819 3.18 1.06 (0.40 to 1.73) 0.98 (0.75 to 1.28) 0.94 (0.72 to 1.24) 0.77 (0.58 to 1.02)
Minimal LA volume index, mL/m2
≤8.96 88/819 1.76 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
8.97-11.61 78/819 1.59 −0.17 (−0.68 to 0.35) 0.87 (0.64 to 1.17) 0.89 (0.65 to 1.20) 0.86 (0.63 to 1.16)
11.62-14.56 92/820 1.86 0.10 (−0.43 to 0.63) 0.85 (0.63 to 1.14) 0.87 (0.64 to 1.17) 0.82 (0.61 to 1.10)
14.57-19.00 121/819 2.52 0.76 (0.18 to 1.35) 1.07 (0.81 to 1.42) 1.09 (0.82 to 1.44) 0.98 (0.74 to 1.30)
≥19.01 152/819 3.50 1.76 (1.07 to 2.40) 1.23 (0.93 to 1.63) 1.17 (0.89 to 1.55) 0.95 (0.71 to 1.28)

Abbreviations: APOE, apolipoprotein E; BMI, body mass index; LA, left atrial.

a

Incidence rates are unadjusted.

b

Model 1 was adjusted for age, sex, race and center, APOE ɛ4, education, BMI, smoking status, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, coronary heart disease, heart failure, antihypertensive medications, and anticoagulant use; model 2, model 1 plus incident atrial fibrillation and incident stroke; and model 3, model 2 plus minimal LA volume index, left ventricular ejection fraction, and left ventricular mass index.