Table 2.
League table of pairwise comparisons in network meta-analysis for COVID-19 vaccine efficacy from sensitivities analyses
After the first dose | ||||
P-score 1.000 | ||||
mRNA | 0.713 | |||
0.43 (0.28- 0.65) | Recombinant | 0.513 | ||
0.34 (0.25- 0.45) | 0.79 (0.55- 1.15) | DNA | 0.274 | |
0.29 (0.21- 0.39) | 0.68 (0.45- 1.00) | 0.85 (0.67- 1.08) | Inactivated | 0.000 |
0.13 (0.10- 0.16) | 0.30 (0.21- 0.42) | 0.37 (0.33- 0.43) | 0.44 (0.36- 0.53) | Control |
Randomization to 21 days after dose 1 | ||||
0.908 | ||||
DNA | 0.808 | |||
0.97 (0.65-1.43) | mRNA | 0.457 | ||
0.70 (0.49-1.00) | 0.72 (0.45-1.16) | Inactivated | 0.167 | |
0.57 (0.48-0.67) | 0.59 (0.41-0.83) | 0.81 (0.59-1.11) | Control | 0.159 |
0.54 (0.34-0.87) | 0.56 (0.32-0.99) | 0.78 (0.45-1.34) | 0.96 (0.62-1.49) | Recombinant |
Starting 7 days after dose 2 | ||||
0.963 | ||||
mRNA | 0.785 | |||
0.62 (0.25- 1.52) | Recombinant | 0.460 | ||
0.23 (0.13- 0.40) | 0.37 (0.16- 0.85) | Inactivated | 0.293 | |
0.21 (0.12- 0.36) | 0.34 (0.15- 0.77) | 0.92 (0.61- 1.41) | DNA | 0.000 |
0.05 (0.03- 0.08) | 0.08 (0.04- 0.18) | 0.22 (0.16- 0.30) | 0.24 (0.18- 0.32) | Control |
Vaccines are ordered in the rank of their chance of being the best vaccine. Vaccine estimates are provided as incidence risk ratio (IRR) with 95% confidence interval. Comparisons between vaccines should be read left to right, and their IRR is in the cell in common between the column-defining vaccine and the row-defining vaccine. IRRs < 1 favor the column-defining vaccine for the network estimates. The values above the vaccines are the corresponding P-scores; Significant pairwise comparisons are highlighted (Bolded P values are < 0.05). mRNA: messenger RNA vaccines (BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273); DNA: adenoviral vaccines (Ad26.COV2.S, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, and Gam-COVID-Vac); Inactivated vaccines (WIV04, HB02, and CoronaVac); and recombinant nanoparticle (NVX-CoV2373).