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. 2022 May;15(5):499–507. doi: 10.1016/j.jiph.2022.03.011

Table 2.

Pooled main, added, and vaccine effects with tests for heterogeneity (p-value) across countries under the strict and weak intervention and different vaccine coverage (0%, 10%, and 20%) in 22 countries during pandemic.

Vaccination coverage rate (%) Intensity of intervention Effect Case growth rate
Death growth rate
Excess mortality
RR (95% CI) Test for heterogeneity RR (95% CI:) Test for heterogeneity RR (95% CI) Test for heterogeneity
0 Weak (≥ 60th and 7 days) Main effect 0.94 (0.89–1.01) P < 0.01 0.93 (0.85–1.02) P = 0.38 1.28 (1.11–1.47) P < 0.01
Added effect 1.00 (0.94–1.05) P < 0.01 0.96 (0.92–1.01) P < 0.01 0.91 (0.83–1.01) P < 0.01
Vaccine effect 1.09 (1.03–1.16) P < 0.01 1.08 (0.96–1.21) P < 0.01 0.85 (0.77–0.94) P < 0.01
Strict (≥ 80th and 21 days) Main effect 0.87 (0.83–0.91) P = 0.90 0.86 (0.75–0.98) P < 0.01 1.25 (1.11–1.41) P < 0.01
Added effect 1.02 (1.00–1.05) P = 0.05 1.01 (0.97–1.04) P = 0.18 0.97 (0.91–1.04) P < 0.01
Vaccine effect 1.08 (1.03–1.14) P < 0.01 1.07 (0.97–1.19) P < 0.01 0.84 (0.77–0.92) P < 0.01
10 Weak (≥ 60th and 7 days) Main effect 0.98 (0.92–1.04) P = 0.01 0.98 (0.85–1.14) P = 0.38 1.12 (0.98–1.27) P < 0.01
Added effect 1.00 (0.95–1.06) P < 0.01 0.97 (0.92–1.02) P = 0.12 0.89 (0.80–0.98) P < 0.01
Vaccine effect 1.03 (0.98–1.09) P < 0.01 0.98 (0.91–1.05) P < 0.01 0.95 (0.91–1.01) P < 0.01
Strict (≥ 80th and 21 days) Main effect 0.90 (0.86–0.95) P = 1.00 0.92 (0.86–0.99) P = 0.22 1.07 (0.93–1.24) P < 0.01
Added effect 1.02 (0.99–1.04) P = 0.04 1.00 (0.97–1.04) P = 0.08 1.00 (0.93–1.08) P < 0.01
Vaccine effect 1.03 (1.00–1.07) P < 0.01 0.98 (0.93–1.03) P < 0.01 0.95 (0.90–1.00) P < 0.01
20 Weak (≥ 60th and 7 days) Main effect 0.94 (0.86–1.03) P < 0.01 0.97 (0.89–1.06) P = 0.49 1.05 (0.97–1.13) P < 0.01
Added effect 1.02 (0.96–1.09) P < 0.01 0.97 (0.93–1.02) P = 0.13 0.92 (0.81–1.04) P < 0.01
Vaccine effect 1.04 (0.99–1.10) P < 0.01 1.00 (0.91–1.11) P < 0.01 0.99 (0.91–1.07) P < 0.01
Strict (≥ 80th and 21 days) Main effect 0.92 (0.88–0.97) P = 1.00 0.93 (0.87–1.00) P = 0.45 1.01 (0.86–1.19) P < 0.01
Added effect 1.02 (1.00–1.04) P = 0.17 1.01 (0.97–1.04) P = 0.10 0.99 (0.93–1.06) P < 0.01
Vaccine effect 1.04 (0.99–1.10) P < 0.01 0.99 (0.91–1.09) P < 0.01 0.98 (0.94–1.03) P < 0.01