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. 2022 Jan 24;15(2):286–300. doi: 10.1007/s12328-021-01575-4

Table 6.

Comparison of various CDL predictors between the 2010 and the 2019 ASGE guidelines with study resulted recommendation and comments

Predictors 2010 ASGE guideline CDL predictor category 2019 ASGE guideline CDL predictor category Comment based on study result
US with stone Very strong High Highest WaOR of all predictors
Acute cholangitis Very strong High Lower WaOR than US with stone; however, still relatively higher WaOR than other predictors
Tbili > 4 mg/dL Very strong Not reported Equivalent multivariate analysis WaOR as compared to acute cholangitis

Tbili > 4 mg/dL

 + CBD > 6 mm

Not reported High Insufficient data to comment; suspect higher specificity than either alone
Tbili 1.8–4 mg/dL Strong Not reported Relatively low WaOR, equivalent to moderate predictors reported in 2010 ASGE guideline. However, limited studies
CBD > 6 mm Strong Intermediate High WaOR on univariate analysis, low WaOR on multivariate analysis. Relatively high sensitivity and NPV
ALFT Moderate Intermediate Low WaOR, nonspecific
Age > 55 years Moderate Intermediate Low WaOR, nonspecific
Acute pancreatitis Moderate Not reported WaOR < 1, indicates a negative predictor of CDL

It is presumed that the term “likelihood” reported in the 2010 ASGE guideline and “probability” reported in the 2019 ASGE guideline have analogous meanings and, similarly, that the strength qualifiers (e.g. “very strong”) reported in the 2010 ASGE guideline and probability (e.g. “high”) qualifiers reported in the 2019 ASGE guideline have analogous meanings