Table 6.
Predictors | 2010 ASGE guideline CDL predictor category | 2019 ASGE guideline CDL predictor category | Comment based on study result |
---|---|---|---|
US with stone | Very strong | High | Highest WaOR of all predictors |
Acute cholangitis | Very strong | High | Lower WaOR than US with stone; however, still relatively higher WaOR than other predictors |
Tbili > 4 mg/dL | Very strong | Not reported | Equivalent multivariate analysis WaOR as compared to acute cholangitis |
Tbili > 4 mg/dL + CBD > 6 mm |
Not reported | High | Insufficient data to comment; suspect higher specificity than either alone |
Tbili 1.8–4 mg/dL | Strong | Not reported | Relatively low WaOR, equivalent to moderate predictors reported in 2010 ASGE guideline. However, limited studies |
CBD > 6 mm | Strong | Intermediate | High WaOR on univariate analysis, low WaOR on multivariate analysis. Relatively high sensitivity and NPV |
ALFT | Moderate | Intermediate | Low WaOR, nonspecific |
Age > 55 years | Moderate | Intermediate | Low WaOR, nonspecific |
Acute pancreatitis | Moderate | Not reported | WaOR < 1, indicates a negative predictor of CDL |
It is presumed that the term “likelihood” reported in the 2010 ASGE guideline and “probability” reported in the 2019 ASGE guideline have analogous meanings and, similarly, that the strength qualifiers (e.g. “very strong”) reported in the 2010 ASGE guideline and probability (e.g. “high”) qualifiers reported in the 2019 ASGE guideline have analogous meanings