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. 2020 Dec 14;283:116351. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116351

Table 2.

Scenario assumptions for the long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

2021–25
2026–50
Fast recovery Gradual recovery Profound recession Fast recovery Gradual recovery Profound recession
Oil price 1.00 0.98 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00
Natural gas price 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Coal price 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Industrial emissions 1.00 0.98 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.95
Electricity demand 1.00 0.98 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.95

The assumptions are made relative to BAU level of the respective parameter, with 1.00 meaning the BAU value.