Table 2.
Scenario assumptions for the long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
2021–25 |
2026–50 |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fast recovery | Gradual recovery | Profound recession | Fast recovery | Gradual recovery | Profound recession | |
Oil price | 1.00 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Natural gas price | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Coal price | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Industrial emissions | 1.00 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
Electricity demand | 1.00 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
The assumptions are made relative to BAU level of the respective parameter, with 1.00 meaning the BAU value.