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. 2022 Mar 28;176(6):608–611. doi: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.0077

Table 2. Trends in Weighted Prevalence of Prediabetes Overall and by Population Subgroups Among Youths by NHANES Cycles From 1999 Through 2018.

Subgroup Survey-weighted % (95% CI)a P value
1999-2002 (n = 1862) 2003-2006 (n = 1788) 2007-2010 (n = 998) 2011-2014 (n = 1064) 2015-2018 (n = 886) Trend Interaction
Overall 11.6 (9.49-14.1) 15.4 (12.7-18.5) 23.4 (20.0-27.4) 22.7 (19.7-25.9) 28.2 (23.3-33.6) <.001 NA
Age, y
12-15 13.1 (10.2-16.8) 17.5 (13.8-22.1) 24.6 (19.2-30.9) 23.3 (19.3-27.9) 30.8 (24.9-37.4) <.001 .65
16-19 10.0 (7.7-13.0) 13.4 (10.3-17.2) 22.2 (19.1-25.6) 21.9 (17.3-27.4) 25.6 (20.8-31.2) <.001
Sex
Female 7.1 (5.1-9.9) 8.7 (6.6-11.4) 16.7 (13.1-21.0) 14.3 (11.5-17.8) 19.6 (14.7-25.7) <.001 .84
Male 15.8 (12.3-20.1) 21.7 (18.2-25.7) 29.8 (25.5-34.5) 30.6 (25.4-36.3) 36.4 (30.1-43.1) <.001
Race and ethnicity
Hispanic 13.4 (10.6-16.9) 16.0 (11.8-21.4) 30.6 (24.2-37.8) 26.7 (22.5-31.2) 28.6 (23.0-34.9) <.001 .56b
Non-Hispanic
Asian NA NA NA 23.5 (15.8-33.6) 26.0 (15.5-40.2) .75
Black 11.7 (9.1-14.8) 14.7 (11.9-18.0) 26.8 (21.2-33.3) 23.2 (17.2-30.6) 32.3 (24.9-40.8) <.001
White 11.5 (8.4-15.5) 15.3 (11.6-20.1) 19.8 (15.2-25.4) 20.6 (16.2-25.8) 26.8 (19.1-36.2) <.001
Parental educational level
<High school 15.6 (12.8-18.9) 15.9 (11.7-21.4) 24.2 (17.6-32.2) 29.9 (23.6-37.1) 29.1 (23.9-34.9) <.001 .28
High school 10.0 (8.0-12.4) 14.7 (12.3-17.4) 24.0 (19.8-28.6) 20.5 (17.0-24.6) 29.2 (23.7-35.4) <.001
≥Some college 11.1 (6.3-18.8) 17.0 (10.9-25.7) 19.4 (12.6-28.7) 20.4 (13.8-29.0) 26.8 (15.7-42.0) .03
Ratio of family income to poverty level
<1.3 12.5 (8.5-17.9) 12.7 (9.1-17.3) 29.4 (23.9-35.6) 26.6 (22.3-31.4) 31.2 (25.6-37.3) <.001 .54
1.3 to <3.0 9.3 (6.4-13.3) 19.8 (15.2-25.4) 23.0 (17.1-30.0) 20.6 (15.6-26.7) 30.0 (23.2-37.7) <.001
≥3.0 11.8 (8.8-15.7) 13.8 (9.7-19.4) 18.5 (13.0-25.7) 20.8 (14.9-28.3) 24.5 (15.2-37.0) <.006
Food security
Very low 18.4 (11.0-29.1) 13.3 (6.83-24.2) 40.7 (32.0-50.1) 20.1 (12.1-31.7) 26.3 (16.3-39.6) .20 .24
Low 12.0 (8.0-17.6) 15.2 (10.5-21.6) 26.0 (20.1-33.1) 27.6 (19.4-37.7) 29.6 (22.2-38.2) <.001
Marginal 11.4 (6.9-18.3) 20.5 (13.9-29.3) 24.9 (15.8-36.9) 20.4 (13.8-29.1) 45.5 (31.6-60.2) <.001
Full 10.8 (8.3-13.9) 15.5 (12.2-19.4) 21.7 (17.4-26.7) 22.4 (18.2-27.3) 25.6 (19.7-32.5) <.001
BMI category
Underweight or normal weight 9.41 (7.50-11.8) 13.3 (10.3-17.0) 23.0 (18.1-28.8) 18.3 (15.5-21.4) 24.3 (18.9-30.7) <.001 .94
Overweight 15.3 (9.45-23.8) 14.4 (9.02-22.3) 17.7 (12.4-24.6) 26.7 (18.7-36.6) 27.5 (19.7-36.9) <.005
Obese 18.2 (12.8-25.2) 24.1 (16.0-34.6) 29.5 (22.8-37.3) 34.2 (24.5-45.4) 40.4 (30.2-51.5) <.001

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; NA, not applicable; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

a

Percentages were adjusted for NHANES survey weight.

b

The P value for interaction did not include data for Asian participants owing to inconsistent data across cycles.