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. 2018 Jul 19;21(1):50–68. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxy028

Table 1.

Tabulation of posterior probabilities of treatment benefit and posterior probabilities of differential treatment effect Inline graphic for patients in the SOLVD trials

  SOLVD Treatment Trial SOLVD Prevention Trial
Inline graphic 51.38 20.47
Inline graphic 24.69 23.71
Inline graphic 20.08 41.98
Inline graphic  3.85 13.84
Inline graphic  0.00  0.00
Inline graphic 19.36  7.30
Inline graphic 41.93 31.58

For each trial, the empirical percentage of patients whose estimated posterior probability of treatment benefit lies within each of the intervals Inline graphic, and Inline graphic is reported. In addition, the percentages of patients in each trial that exhibit “strong” (i.e. Inline graphic) and “mild” (i.e. Inline graphic) evidence of differential treatment effect are shown.